MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Godinez v Polastri Women'S Strawweight Our fair value $1.32 best price PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Godinez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.32
No regional prices quoted for this fight yet.
Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
Godinez 34
11 Polastri
TPBDOU pick Godinez
How it endsmethod calls · Godinez · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $9.65
Submission 1 $28.96
Decision 18 $1.61
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Godinez 12-5 VS 14-5 Polastri
height 5'2"
weight 116 lb
reach 64"
32 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.4
48% striking accuracy 52%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
63% striking defence 48%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
47% takedown accuracy 51%
81% takedown defence 87%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Consensus34 of 45 analysts
Sharpest angleGodinez by Decision — 18 of 22 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Loopy Godinez “I'm going with Loopy Godinez.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Julia Polastri VALUE “I'm still taking Julia Polastri on plus money it's a female fight and you're on this loopy side which I don't blame you” $3.00
UG UFC Genie picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “Loopy Godinez is another one of the guys legs.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “siento que se le va a dar a Loopy Godinez Godine frente a Julia Polastri Polastri” $1.36
WO WorstTakeMMA picks Julia Polastri VALUE “Julia Julia Polastri has a 54% finish rate, which is rare in these lower weight classes.”
PA PattyMMA picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I'm picking her I know she's Brazilian I'm Brazilian but still it's a EVinc PichelENT_DETAILS card so I'm going with the Mexicans”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I think Loopy Godinez by unanimous decision”
CG Combat Sport Guys picks Julia Polastri VALUE “give me Julia Polastri to be victorious here.”
PR Premium-Picks picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “you got Loopy Godinez minus 250 she was minus 170 I still think there is some value there” $1.40
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I still believe in the potential of the 31-year-old Godz who is right in her prime and has skills across the board but has fantastic grappling and wrestling and is so physically strong. And she has the opportunity to get right and end her two-fight skid against Julia Polastri.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Loopy Godinez VALUE “I got to go with Godz.”
WP We Want Picks picks Julia Polastri “I got to go with my lock of the week Julia Polastri she is going to defend the takedowns could get a takedown or two of her own going to have the bigger moments and going to be the one moving forward to get it done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Godinez12-5
W Polastri Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Dern Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Jandiroba Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Ricci Decision · R3 Nov '23
Polastri14-5
L Alencar Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Kowalkiewicz KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Godinez Decision · R3 Mar '25
W McKenna Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Knutsson Decision · R3 Jun '24