UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KB
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kevin Borjas
v Alessandro Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“if he stays on the feet boras is going to be live he's going to want to be the one that's going to have the more power in his hands”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.20
→
close$2.15
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
WON
Alessandro Costa
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going go with Alessandro Costa just cuz I know that he's not going to try to stay on the feet cuz he's not the most dynamic Striker he's going to try to mix in the take downs and wrestling and try to get him down to the ground ah the pick's going to be CAU in here”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.80
→
close$1.87
entry: SuperBook · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
VP
Vinc Pichel
v Ismael Bonfim
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Vinc Pichel
v Ismael Bonfim
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I wouldn't be surprised if he goese and knocks him out and wins by KO in this for man”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$5.40
→
close$5.40
Pichel’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
EK
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“aresta she's a striker okay she's coming to make a UFC debut as well on there she made a UFC debut on a contender series she was able to get the win in that fight her defense uh is not there”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.05
→
close$3.11
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
MONEYLINE
WON
Dione Barbosa
v Ernesta Kareckaitė
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think Dione Barbosa is a solid parlay piece I think she gets this one done in here”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.49
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
JM
Jamie Mullarkey
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jamie Mullarkey
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Jam malar is a guy to wear no matter what's going on how good he's fighting that chin is always going to get tested”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.88
→
close$2.90
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
VP
Vitor Petrino
v Anthony Smith
MONEYLINE
LOST
Vitor Petrino
v Anthony Smith
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the pick is William Gomes I think the dog is out the cage in that one man we going with the dog”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.20
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
EB
Elves Brener
v Myktybek Orolbai
MONEYLINE
LOST
Elves Brener
v Myktybek Orolbai
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Elvis burner though is a live dog as well in any fight man he pulls upsets out of anywhere”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: NordicBet · best in any region at publish
MO
Myktybek Orolbai
v Elves Brener
MONEYLINE
WON
Myktybek Orolbai
v Elves Brener
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like him a lot in this spot I actually played him soon as he came out at minus 280”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42
→
close$1.42
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
KK
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Iasmin Lucindo
MONEYLINE
LOST
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
v Iasmin Lucindo
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Carolina though I got to give her her credit she's been turning around man she's on a great win streak right now”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$4.40
→
close$4.50
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
Iasmin Lucindo
v Karolina Kowalkiewicz
MONEYLINE
WON
“the pick is Las luo to get it done”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.27
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JS
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jack Shore
v Joanderson Brito
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm a Big Jack Shaw fan I like him a lot he only lost money with me once against Ricky Simone but I I think Jo Anderson burrito is the more uh dangerous fighter in here”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.48
→
close$2.63
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
CB
Caio Borralho
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Caio Borralho
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I think he wins inside the distance in here I don't know how I I think he can win by KO grounding pound”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.18
Borralho’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.17
AS
Anthony Smith
v Vitor Petrino
MONEYLINE
WON
Anthony Smith
v Vitor Petrino
MONEYLINE
WON
“Anthony Anthony Smith got knocked out bad last time out against C Round Tree”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$5.50
→
close$5.50
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
JA
José Aldo
v Jonathan Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
José Aldo
v Jonathan Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like Jonathan Jonathan Martinez in this spot but I will tell you this Jose José Aldo's live He's live man”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.35
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
SE
Steve Erceg
v Alexandre Pantoja
MONEYLINE
LOST
Steve Erceg
v Alexandre Pantoja
MONEYLINE
LOST
“it's just that the opponent Steve ERS man in these divisions all it takes is a run like this to get your name known and he's doing it man”
Line since pick
CLV +18%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$2.60
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish
AP
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
Alexandre Pantoja
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
“the pick is Alexandre Pantoja in this one”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56
→
close$1.56
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MR
Maurício Ruffy
v Jamie Mullarkey
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Maurício Ruffy
v Jamie Mullarkey
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“the pick is definitely ruy in that spot I think he gets it done inside the distance”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.54
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
JM
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Jonathan Martinez
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I like Jonathan Jonathan Martinez in this one”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.70
→
close$1.73
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
PC
Paul Craig
v Caio Borralho
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Paul Craig
v Caio Borralho
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“Paul Paul Craig's a fighter to where he could always win by submission at any point in any time”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$6.00
→
close$6.20
Craig’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JB
Joanderson Brito
v Jack Shore
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Joanderson Brito
v Jack Shore
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I think Jo Anderson burrito gets it done at a minus 160 in here as well”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.65
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
