UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
IB
Ignacio Bahamondes
v Jalin Turner
MONEYLINE
WON
Ignacio Bahamondes
v Jalin Turner
MONEYLINE
WON
“in total I risked about 2.6 units on Ignacio Bahamondes to win this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.85
→
close$1.83
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
RF
Rafael Fiziev
v Justin Gaethje
MONEYLINE
LOST
Rafael Fiziev
v Justin Gaethje
MONEYLINE
LOST
“both versions of the model have Rafael Fiziev winning this at just over 50% because of that we will be taking him for enough to return 1.5 units with a win”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.66
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
MA
Magomed Ankalaev
v Alex Pereira
MONEYLINE
WON
Magomed Ankalaev
v Alex Pereira
MONEYLINE
WON
“both versions of the model believe that we have good value on Magomed Ankalaev Magomed Ankalaev here we did use some of that free play that needs to get spent in total our risk on this came out to about 2.6 units on Magomed Ankalaev to win”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$2.05
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
CL
Carlos Leal
v Alex Morono
MONEYLINE
WON
Carlos Leal
v Alex Morono
MONEYLINE
WON
“because both versions agree we will be betting enough on Carlos Carlos Lealal to return 1.5 units”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.14
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
IL
Iasmin Lucindo
v Amanda Lemos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Iasmin Lucindo
v Amanda Lemos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“both versions of the model favor her very substantially that requires us to put enough to return one and a half units on it in addition to that I laid two and one4 units of free play on Iasmin Lucindo to win the fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.77
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
RT
Rei Tsuruya
v Joshua Van
MONEYLINE
LOST
Rei Tsuruya
v Joshua Van
MONEYLINE
LOST
“both the models prefer Rei Tsuruya here he's a plus 164 Underdog at the books so we will be betting 1.5 units on him”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.66
→
close$2.65
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MS
Mairon Santos
v Francis Marshall
MONEYLINE
WON
Mairon Santos
v Francis Marshall
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'll believe that Mary and Mairon Santos is a shoe in to win this fight because of this we've placed enough on Maran to return 1.5 units with a win”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.36
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BF
Brunno Ferreira
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Brunno Ferreira
v Armen Petrosyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“V2 of the model is very confident in Brunno Ferreira FAA in this fight and likes him to win at 62% we will be taking Brunno Ferreira here as the underdog for one unit”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$2.31
→
close$2.27
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
KG
King Green
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
King Green
v Maurício Ruffy
MONEYLINE
LOST
“V2 has him overwhelmingly the favorite at 68.4% we'll be taking Chris Gutierrez here for 1.5 units”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$4.80
→
close$4.75
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JV
Joshua Van
v Rei Tsuruya
MONEYLINE
WON
Joshua Van
v Rei Tsuruya
MONEYLINE
WON
“both versions of the model like rizen here at plus 260 they're giving him a small Edge just over 50% we will be risking 1.5 units on kunv in this matchup”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.61
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MR
Maurício Ruffy
v King Green
MONEYLINE
WON
Maurício Ruffy
v King Green
MONEYLINE
WON
“we are taking him for enough to return 1.5 units those are the fights now let's look at the totals”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.24
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish