UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown
UFC Vegas Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales - Breakdown & Predictions
IF
Inside Fighting56% hit
13 months ago
2W–5L · -2.1u
7/9 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TM
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
MONEYLINE
LOST
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think he's probably going to take Jared Gordon's head off. Um, probably going to go for the knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.15
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Dustin Stoltzfus
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Dustin Stoltzfus
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm locking in Nursulton Ruziboev. I do think he gets the finish here. If we're doing MMA math, Dustin lost to uh Bruno Fier and Ruseie Bov knocked Bruno Ferrer out.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.43
Ruziboev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SY
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think this is going to be a close decision win for Sadique Yousef.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.35
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“Picking the fight to win. I'm picking Rodolfo Bellato because I think he's five to one favorite for a reason.”
Line since pick
—
no market data captured for this fight
MM
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I think Michael Morales is going to get a pretty easy victory here by knockout.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.18
Morales’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.12
GB
Gilbert Burns
v Michael Morales
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gilbert Burns
v Michael Morales
MONEYLINE
LOST
“We're counting out Gilbert Burns for no reason here. He's had really good wars against Hamza Chamay where he looked good.”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$6.50
→
close$7.10
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
MS
Mairon Santos
v Sodiq Yusuff
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Mairon Santos
v Sodiq Yusuff
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I do have him winning this fight. He's 24. He's really good. Um I think he's gonna get the win.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.76
→
close$1.76
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
PC
Paul Craig
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
—
Paul Craig
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
—
“I'm actually putting money on Paul Craig. Um makes sense. I mean the numbers there. I think that the chance for a sneaky submission is much higher than the 4 to 1 odds indicate here.”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I do want to take Melquizael Costa here by finish and I do want to parlay him with a Ruseibo finish as well. So this is kind of like if I'm betting, which I am betting this one, I think I'm going to pick Costa and Rousey Boev by finish. I think Costa gets it done here by submission in the first two rounds.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted