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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
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MM GB Morales vs BurnsFight Card · Welterweight MS SY Santos vs YusuffFight Card · Lightweight NR DS Ruziboev vs StoltzfusFight Card · Middleweight MC JE Costa vs ErosaFight Card · Featherweight GG MC Green vs CamiloPreliminary Card · Lightweight JG TM Gordon vs MoisésPreliminary Card · Lightweight LS TL Santos vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DG ER Gomes vs ReedPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PH CH Hyun-sung vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Flyweight TP LP Pennington vs PinheiroPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight YV CM Valle vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Yusuff over Santos · Lightweight Our fair value$2.31 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $2.42
Where to back Yusuff best price · region · EV vs fair $2.31
US BetOnline.ag $2.42 +5%
UK Betway $2.30 -0%
EU Pinnacle $2.39 +3%
AU PlayUp $2.35 +2%
Consensus56 picks · conf 71/99
Santos 29
27 Yusuff
DHBOEC pick Santos
How it endsmethod calls · Yusuff · crowd line
KO/TKO 9 $5.14
Decision 11 $4.20
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Santos 15-1 VS 13-4 Yusuff
5'7" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 71"
26 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 5.7
46% striking accuracy 49%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
57% striking defence 53%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
0% takedown accuracy 20%
0% takedown defence 62%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market43% vs 41%
Consensus27 of 56 analysts
Sharpest angleYusuff by Decision — 11 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Yusuff @ $2.42 · fair $2.31 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CN Correlation Nation picks Mairon Santos “We're going to lean with Mairon Santos.”
VI VinceMMA picks Mairon Santos “I'm going Mairon Santos by move up to 155 pounds. Mairon Santos is unanimous decision.”
VI VinceMMA picks Sodiq Yusuff VALUE “I'm going Sodiq Yusuff by round two TKO.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Sodiq Yusuff “I'm gonna go with the um yeah, Sodiq Yusuff.”
MR MMA ROACH picks Mairon Santos “I'm picking Mairon Santos.”
JN JNapsMMAshorts picks Mairon Santos “I got Mairon Santos. Even though I still think he robbed Francis Marshall, but we're not going to talk about it.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mairon Santos “The pick for me is Mairon Santos.” $1.63
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Sodiq Yusuff “I look for that to pay dividends here for Sadiq”
GM GC MMA picks Sodiq Yusuff “I'm going to have to fade and go with Sodiq Yusuff.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mairon Santos “My prediction in this fight is going to be Mairon Santos by a decision having that breakout performance.”
WP We Want Picks picks Sodiq Yusuff “I think Sadiq wins this fight”
PN Picks Nation picks Sodiq Yusuff VALUE “My underdog this week is going to be Sodiq Yusuff.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Santos15-1
W Naimov KO/TKO · R3 Dec '25
W Yusuff Decision · R3 May '25
W Marshall Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Ofli KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
Yusuff13-4
L Santos Decision · R3 May '25
L Lopes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
L Barboza Decision · R5 Oct '23
W Shainis Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Caceres Decision · R3 Mar '22