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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
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BEST PRICE We back del Valle over Matthews · Featherweight Our fair value$1.17 Betsson pays above fair $1.21
Where to back del Valle best price · region · EV vs fair $1.17
US FanDuel $1.18 +1%
UK LiveScore Bet $1.18 +1%
EU Betsson $1.21 +4%
AU TABtouch $1.18 +1%
Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
del Valle 3
0 Matthews
1VG pick del Valle
How it endsmethod calls · del Valle · crowd line
Decision 1 $1.17
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
del Valle 10-0 VS 7-2 Matthews
5'9" height 5'8"
146 lb weight 145 lb
69" reach 71"
29 age 34
Southpaw stance Switch
8.3 strikes landed / min 5.3
66% striking accuracy 44%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
50% striking defence 56%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
33% takedown accuracy 53%
66% takedown defence 50%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market86% vs 83%
Consensus3 of 3 analysts
Sharpest angledel Valle by Decision — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back del Valle @ $1.21 · fair $1.17 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Yadier del Valle VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Yadier del Valle to get this done by knockout in the very second round.”
1M 138 MMA picks Yadier del Valle “I've got to take Yadier del Valle here.”
VI VinceMMA picks Yadier del Valle VALUE “I was in a bar in Seek Caucus and the manager of the bar was a very big NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 fan... They were very sickened to watch Yadier del Valle lose.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
del Valle10-0
L Leavitt Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Dulgarian Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Matthews Submission · R1 May '25
Matthews7-2
L Valle Submission · R1 May '25
L Delgado KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Buzukja KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24