MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Choose a fight to analyse
MM GB Morales vs BurnsFight Card · Welterweight MS SY Santos vs YusuffFight Card · Lightweight NR DS Ruziboev vs StoltzfusFight Card · Middleweight MC JE Costa vs ErosaFight Card · Featherweight GG MC Green vs CamiloPreliminary Card · Lightweight JG TM Gordon vs MoisésPreliminary Card · Lightweight LS TL Santos vs LisboaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight DG ER Gomes vs ReedPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PH CH Hyun-sung vs HernandezPreliminary Card · Flyweight TP LP Pennington vs PinheiroPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight YV CM Valle vs MatthewsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Burns over Morales · Welterweight Our fair value$4.51 Unibet pays above fair $5.10
Where to back Burns best price · region · EV vs fair $4.51
US BetRivers $5.10 +13%
UK Unibet (UK) $5.10 +13%
EU Unibet (EU) $5.10 +13%
AU Unibet $5.10 +13%
Consensus95 picks · conf 83/99
Morales 69
26 Burns
JCRHCF pick Morales
How it endsmethod calls · Burns · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $14.44
Submission 3 $24.07
Decision 7 $10.32
None 1 $72.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Morales 18-0 VS 22-9 Burns
6'0" height 5'10"
170 lb weight 170 lb
79" reach 71"
27 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min 3.2
48% striking accuracy 48%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
52% striking defence 52%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
41% takedown accuracy 37%
92% takedown defence 53%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market22% vs 20%
Consensus26 of 95 analysts
Sharpest angleBurns by Decision — 7 of 16 method calls
Recommendation Back Burns @ $5.10 · fair $4.51 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
HB Half The Battle picks Michael Morales “we'll go Michael Morales as well.”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Gilbert Burns VALUE $7.00
VI VinceMMA picks Michael Morales VALUE “I'm going to go Michael Morales by unanimous decision.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Gilbert Burns “Gilbert Burns by decision.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Morales “I am taking Michael Morales”
MR MMA ROACH picks Michael Morales “I'm going to take Michael Michael Morales.”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Michael Morales VALUE “Uh Michael Morales Conforto dirt cheap.”
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Michael Morales VALUE “meu palpite aqui é sim pra vitória do do Michael Mor”
JN JNapsMMAshorts picks Michael Morales “Michael Morales getting the dub.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Michael Morales “The pick is Michael Morales, guys.”
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Michael Morales VALUE “Michael Michael Morales, he's just going to use the offensive wrestling on Gilbert against him. He's going to tire out.”
ST Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Michael Morales “I think if Morales can take some notes out of JDM's book, I think he can win this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Morales18-0
W Brady KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Magny KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
W Matthews Decision · R3 Nov '23
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '23
Burns22-9
L Malott KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Brady Decision · R5 Sep '24
L Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Muhammad Decision · R5 May '23