UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
“We're putting two units on this sucker plus 102.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$2.05
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
SO
Saimon Oliveira
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Saimon Oliveira
v David Martínez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Saimon Oliveira seems to be the play.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.85
→
close$4.85
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.30
→
close$3.30
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.90
→
close$2.90
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
WON
“we got a unit on Melquizael Costa.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
RG
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
Rafa García
v Vinc Pichel
MONEYLINE
WON
“my pick on this fight is Rafa García to win by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
RR
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“Ronaldo Rodríguez by sub plus 370.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.70
→
close$1.71
Rodríguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.70
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.80
→
close$4.80
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish