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Cannonier vs GastelumMain Card · Middleweight
MM
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Madsen vs GuidaMain Card · Lightweight
PP
CS
Porter vs ShermanMain Card · Heavyweight
SK
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Kakhramonov vs JonesMain Card · Catchweight
VP
AH
Pichel vs HubbardMain Card · Lightweight
AP
BR
Pantoja vs RoyvalMain Card · Flyweight
AL
LS
Lingo vs SaldañaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BK
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Kelleher vs PilartePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Nunes vs MaleckiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Knight vs CherantPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Cannonier v Gastelum
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cannonier 17-8
VS
21-10 Gastelum
5'11"
height
5'9"
186 lb
weight
191 lb
78"
reach
71"
42
age
34
Switch
stance
Southpaw
4.5
strikes landed / min
4.4
50%
striking accuracy
52%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
56%
striking defence
74%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
46%
takedown accuracy
32%
62%
takedown defence
86%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“versus Kelvin Gastelum online Jared Cannonier”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“versus Kelvin Gastelum online Jared Cannonier”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kelvin Gastelum
“the scorecard has it 50 45 Kelvin Gastelum”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kelvin Gastelum
“the scorecard has it 50 45 Kelvin Gastelum”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Jared Cannonier too”
THE MMA GURU picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Jared Cannonier too”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kelvin Gastelum
“if jericho wins this fight by decision does he pay off the 8700 price tag”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kelvin Gastelum
“if jericho wins this fight by decision does he pay off the 8700 price tag”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier
“i'm picking canon ear to win the fight”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jared Cannonier
“i'm picking canon ear to win the fight”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Jared Cannonier
“i gotta say i like i like cannoneer to to win this fight i'm gonna go with the killer gorilla”
Walk The Line MMA picks Jared Cannonier
“i gotta say i like i like cannoneer to to win this fight i'm gonna go with the killer gorilla”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Kelvin Gastelum
“Kelvin Gastelum gets cut after losing”
THE MMA GURU picks Kelvin Gastelum
“Kelvin Gastelum gets cut after losing”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm gonna go with daniel rodriguez i think he's a little bit too big for kevin lee”
THE MMA GURU picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“i'm gonna go with daniel rodriguez i think he's a little bit too big for kevin lee”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Jared Cannonier
“i'm going with jared cannonier i think he beats kelvin gaslin the problem is for canyon though gaslum is so tough to stop he's never been finished with strikes he's been submitted a couple of times he got submitted by chris weidman with an armed triangle he has submitted by jack manson can canon beer finish kevin gassem i don't know if he can because if you re-watch gaslamin asanya otasana is throwing every single thing he's got in the gaslum fight and kelvin stays in the fight same with whitaker whitaker was trying to put gassing away he couldn't so i think cam near wins a decision and i don't think that's like the pick that a lot of people are expecting because jared kader fight you're thinking he's going to finish gaslum i don't know if he can get gel he can get kelvin out of there and i think kelvin gas is going to win rounds in this fight i think this is going to be competitive fight i don't like going into the fifth round i think this fight might be two too like i think this is going to be such a close fight gaston and kelvin and gaslam and jared kane here match up so well together this is a perfect fight for the weight class it really is because gosling does bring the wrestling too and we're going to see jared kenny's wrestling defense too you know we did see in the mansion fight he did fight off those takedowns very well we will see it again here in the calvin fight but calvin's not afraid to strike with jared kane here as well because kelvin gaussian can take a shot i've seen it before i saw on the whitaker fight i saw against i saw the anasani fight i've seen the daryntel fight i saw the chris wadman fight too honestly and i saw kevin gaslin put down chris weidman in that fight too i see i've seen him knock out vitor bell for it too so it's a competitive fight i like jared ken near ever so slightly though i think he will i think he will get a decision win but i mean this is the fight where i'm saying 4847 jared cannon here i think maybe i i i can't even pick the rounds but i think i think kenny probably wins three two maybe maybe four one but this is a close fight kelvin gosselin is gonna win around this fight this isn't gonna be like the whitaker fighter loses it where he loses every single round where gassing's competitive but he loses every single round this in that fight that was the whittaker fight it's not gonna be like that here against george cannon i'm not just showing you how good robert whittaker is he's on a different level him and honestly are are currently on a different level in this division striking wise gossip is going to bring it to jared kane here kanye is going to bring it to gaston these two are going to throw and i think they're going to throw for 25 minutes i think that's how it goes because i just don't think kevin goslin can finish all right jerry cantina can finish coming gaston can gaslum finish cannon here potentially yeah but jerry canyor has never been finished at 185 i think jerry cannon is a whole different fire at 185. again i don't want to compare him out at uh for him at 205 to 185. i i it's just 205 wasn't his weight class you look at jared cannon here now you're like why wasn't this guy fighting at 185 beforehand this guy is jacked at 185 he looks great at 185 and i think he beats kelvin gas so i think he gets it done by decision”
Greedo Plays picks Jared Cannonier
“i'm going with jared cannonier i think he beats kelvin gaslin the problem is for canyon though gaslum is so tough to stop he's never been finished with strikes he's been submitted a couple of times he got submitted by chris weidman with an armed triangle he has submitted by jack manson can canon beer finish kevin gassem i don't know if he can because if you re-watch gaslamin asanya otasana is throwing every single thing he's got in the gaslum fight and kelvin stays in the fight same with whitaker whitaker was trying to put gassing away he couldn't so i think cam near wins a decision and i don't think that's like the pick that a lot of people are expecting because jared kader fight you're thinking he's going to finish gaslum i don't know if he can get gel he can get kelvin out of there and i think kelvin gas is going to win rounds in this fight i think this is going to be competitive fight i don't like going into the fifth round i think this fight might be two too like i think this is going to be such a close fight gaston and kelvin and gaslam and jared kane here match up so well together this is a perfect fight for the weight class it really is because gosling does bring the wrestling too and we're going to see jared kenny's wrestling defense too you know we did see in the mansion fight he did fight off those takedowns very well we will see it again here in the calvin fight but calvin's not afraid to strike with jared kane here as well because kelvin gaussian can take a shot i've seen it before i saw on the whitaker fight i saw against i saw the anasani fight i've seen the daryntel fight i saw the chris wadman fight too honestly and i saw kevin gaslin put down chris weidman in that fight too i see i've seen him knock out vitor bell for it too so it's a competitive fight i like jared ken near ever so slightly though i think he will i think he will get a decision win but i mean this is the fight where i'm saying 4847 jared cannon here i think maybe i i i can't even pick the rounds but i think i think kenny probably wins three two maybe maybe four one but this is a close fight kelvin gosselin is gonna win around this fight this isn't gonna be like the whitaker fighter loses it where he loses every single round where gassing's competitive but he loses every single round this in that fight that was the whittaker fight it's not gonna be like that here against george cannon i'm not just showing you how good robert whittaker is he's on a different level him and honestly are are currently on a different level in this division striking wise gossip is going to bring it to jared kane here kanye is going to bring it to gaston these two are going to throw and i think they're going to throw for 25 minutes i think that's how it goes because i just don't think kevin goslin can finish all right jerry cantina can finish coming gaston can gaslum finish cannon here potentially yeah but jerry canyor has never been finished at 185 i think jerry cannon is a whole different fire at 185. again i don't want to compare him out at uh for him at 205 to 185. i i it's just 205 wasn't his weight class you look at jared cannon here now you're like why wasn't this guy fighting at 185 beforehand this guy is jacked at 185 he looks great at 185 and i think he beats kelvin gas so i think he gets it done by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cannonier17-8
L
Page
Aug '25
W
Rodrigues
Feb '25
L
Borralho
Aug '24
L
Imavov
Jun '24
W
Vettori
Jun '23
Gastelum21-10
L
Luque
Apr '26
W
Stoltzfus
Sep '25
L
Pyfer
Jun '25
W
Rodriguez
Jun '24
L
Brady
Dec '23