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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Porter v Sherman Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Porter 2
3 Sherman
DW pick Porter
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Porter 14-9 VS 16-12 Sherman
6'0" height 6'4"
256 lb weight 254 lb
75" reach 78"
41 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.5 strikes landed / min 6.0
50% striking accuracy 45%
6.3 strikes absorbed / min 6.7
51% striking defence 52%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
26% takedown accuracy 50%
66% takedown defence 74%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chase Sherman VALUE “i think there's a very good chance that he not only wins this fight but finishes them so Chase Sherman is somebody i'm very high on this week”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Parker Porter “maybe sherman does slow down and maybe a porter does get him out of there late heavyweight fight”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Parker Porter “i'll take porter there i'll give him another shot see if he shows up”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Parker Porter “Not explicitly picked” $2.65
TG THE MMA GURU picks Chase Sherman VALUE “what round does Chase Sherman beat Parker Porter prediction”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Parker Porter “what round does Chase Sherman beat Parker Porter prediction”
GP Greedo Plays picks Chase Sherman “i'm taking chase jeremy to be Parker Porter chase german's the better striker it's that simple this fight's probably not ending up on the mat park reporter in the josh parisian fight again one of those heavyweight fights where it wasn't the best fight it's a fight that happened porter outstruck parisian that one it was a pretty dominant performance support for porter but was it all that exciting not really it was just a dominant performance reporter there's nothing else you could say about it but sherman in his last fight yes he did lose durolofsky that's a former champion or alotski that's been battle tested and before that beating like villanueva to fight that he really showed how good his striking really is after he did come back from fighting in bare knuckle fc i like Chase Sherman's boxing this one i think he's the better striker at him and park reporter and i think Chase Sherman is gonna finish park reporter i think he gets a knockout in the first round”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chase Sherman VALUE “i'll take sherman” $1.56
Recent form last five, most recent first
Porter14-9
L Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
W Smith KO/TKO · R1 May '23
L Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
L Almeida Submission · R1 May '22
W Baudot Decision · R3 Feb '22
Sherman16-12
L Williams Decision · R3 May '23
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Nov '22
W Vanderaa KO/TKO · R3 Jul '22
L Romanov Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Collier Submission · R1 Jan '22