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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bahamondes v Roberts Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Bahamondes 1
3 Roberts
W pick Bahamondes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bahamondes 0-0 VS 12-6 Roberts
6'3" height 6'2"
155 lb weight 155 lb
75" reach 73"
28 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.2 strikes landed / min 2.8
47% striking accuracy 43%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
57% striking defence 52%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
0% takedown accuracy 26%
85% takedown defence 50%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Roosevelt Roberts “Roosevelt Roberts with a decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Roosevelt Roberts VALUE “i do like Roosevelt Roberts at 8 400 i think there's some finish upside i think there's a submission upside”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “i think ignacio gets his hand raised he's a slight dog right around plus 120 um so you know for the most part most people edging roberts there not me i'll take ignacio there” $2.20
TG THE MMA GURU picks Ignacio Bahamondes “i'm gonna go with Roosevelt Roberts with a 60 chance to defeat Ignacio Bahamondes”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Roosevelt Roberts VALUE “i'm gonna go with Roosevelt Roberts with a 60 chance to defeat Ignacio Bahamondes”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Roosevelt Roberts “i'm gonna stick with Roosevelt Roberts” $1.83
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bahamondes0-0
L Musayev Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Fiziev Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Turner Submission · R1 Mar '25
W Torres KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Giagos KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
Roberts12-6
L Klein Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Rębecki Submission · R1 Nov '23
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R3 Aug '21
L Miller Submission · R1 Jun '20
W Weaver Submission · R2 May '20