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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pantoja v Royval Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Pantoja 2
4 Royval
TG pick Pantoja
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5 VS 17-7 Royval
5'5" height 5'9"
125 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 68"
36 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.5
49% striking accuracy 39%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
50% striking defence 47%
2.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
47% takedown accuracy 75%
68% takedown defence 45%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brandon Royval “Brandon Royval with the win” $51.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i think roval could steal that third round and maybe the first two rounds are close if he does win a decision maybe it does score decent”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexandre Pantoja “Alexandre Pantoja has never been finished in 28 fights Alexandre Pantoja is very durable”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Brandon Royval “i'm gonna take pantoja here” $1.59
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i'm gonna take roy val i kind of switched up... i'll take brandon roy val to win by decision” $2.45
TG THE MMA GURU picks Alexandre Pantoja “i'm gonna go with Roosevelt Roberts with a 60 chance to defeat Ignacio Bahamondes”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i'm going to go with a man by the name of kaiser to ivarith would win the fight i think his calf kicks would be very effective”
GP Greedo Plays picks Alexandre Pantoja “i like jones to win this one on the feet i like him on the ground as well i think jones ends up winning this fight i think he actually will stop mata martinez i think he puts him away with the second round tko”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i'm picking Brandon Royval i think he's gonna win this fight” $2.40
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brandon Royval VALUE “i'm going to take brandon Brandon Royval” $2.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L Van KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Kara-France Submission · R3 Jun '25
W Asakura Submission · R2 Dec '24
W Erceg Decision · R5 May '24
W Royval Decision · R5 Dec '23
Royval17-7
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Taira Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 Dec '23