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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pichel v Hubbard Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Pichel 3
2 Hubbard
GDW pick Pichel
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pichel 14-4 VS 17-10 Hubbard
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 71"
43 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 4.1
46% striking accuracy 43%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
55% striking defence 57%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
54% takedown accuracy 34%
25% takedown defence 67%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Austin Hubbard VALUE “Austin Hubbard with the results”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Austin Hubbard “i'm actually picking him to lose”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Vinc Pichel VALUE “i think if Vinc Pichel does win it's based off of grappling Austin Hubbard not the best takedown defensive world”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Vinc Pichel “i'm gonna edge my boy vince here i'm gonna take vince”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Vinc Pichel VALUE “i will take vince michelle to get the job done by decision” $1.91
GP Greedo Plays picks Vinc Pichel “i think vince michelle beats Austin Hubbard i think he's the better striker i think that's fine i think that's where this fight does end up taking place i think michelle all around is a better striker than hubbard i've seen pichelle pick up wins over guys such as joakim silva Roosevelt Roberts and jim miller and as for Austin Hubbard his wins in the ufc are dakota bush who is unproven he hasn't won yet in the ufc he's i think gonna fight wrong jew not mistaken next uh max roskoff who was at the ufc in one fight now fighting in cage warriors and then a couple of the guys who are out of the ufc as well or didn't win a single fight in the ufc i'm taking michelle off the experience alone i think he's a way better striker i would say way better but i think he's all around better striker than Austin Hubbard again i like the experience out of offense michelle's coming to this fight record of 13 wins and two losses he is 38 so he is getting up there in age but i like the experience out of his poche i think he beats Austin Hubbard and i think he gets it done by unanimous decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Austin Hubbard VALUE “i'm gonna go with Austin Hubbard over vince pacquiao in all honesty vince pikel's very good he's got good grappling what's the one thing that Austin Hubbard does really well compared to Vinc Pichel in my opinion take down defense volume striking on the feet i'm gonna take Austin Hubbard as an underdog here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Austin Hubbard VALUE “i'm gonna take austin hobart” $2.10
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pichel14-4
L García Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Bonfim Decision · R3 May '24
L Madsen Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Aug '21
W Miller Decision · R3 Aug '20
Hubbard17-10
L Zhu Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Mederos Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Figlak Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Holobaugh Submission · R2 Aug '23