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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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DL JS Lopes vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight RG JG García vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight KG DS Gastelum vs StoltzfusMain Card · Catchweight SL QL Luna vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight AH CF Hernandez vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight CP JS Puelles vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight TS AL Suarez vs LemosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JA LG Aguilar vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight ZR SD Reese vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight AC AC Costa vs CoriaPreliminary Card · Flyweight MR AP Rendon vs PereiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight RS DD Sezinando vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight RF DM Font vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DT JM Todorović vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Gordon over García · Lightweight Our fair value$1.45 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.49
Where to back Gordon best price · region · EV vs fair $1.45
US DraftKings $1.46 +1%
UK Betway $1.44 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.49 +3%
AU BoomBet $1.47 +1%
Consensus117 picks · conf 94/99
García 30
87 Gordon
TDCTHA pick García
How it endsmethod calls · Gordon · crowd line
KO/TKO 24 $2.90
Decision 24 $2.90
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
García 11-6-1 VS 21-8 Gordon
6'1" height 5'9"
154 lb weight 156 lb
76" reach 68"
— age 37
Switch stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 2.9
51% striking accuracy 48%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.0
65% striking defence 62%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
33% takedown accuracy 61%
82% takedown defence 81%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 67%
Consensus87 of 117 analysts
Sharpest angleGordon by KO/TKO — 24 of 48 method calls
Recommendation Back Gordon @ $1.49 · fair $1.45 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Jared Gordon “I got Jared Gordon at minus 245. I feel Jared Gordon on this one” $1.41
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rafa García VALUE “I'm going to go with the Mexican in this fight... Hafa Rafa García.” $3.00
UW Uncle Weezy picks Jared Gordon “I'm picking him to win this fight.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Rafa García VALUE “Rafa García дқәԥаҩ дууп”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Jared Gordon “Jared Gordon дицны”
SP SportsLine picks Jared Gordon VALUE “plus money on a Jared Gordon -18”
TO The Handsum One picks Jared Gordon “going to take Jared Gordon over Rafa García.”
DI DirtMMA picks Jared Gordon “Give me Jared Gordon.”
VM Veintitrés MMA picks Rafa García VALUE “ছিলভাৰ বিৰুদ্ধে যায়”
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Jared Gordon “I'm going to go with Jared Gordon.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Gordon VALUE “I'm going with Jared Gordon with some confidence.”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Jared Gordon VALUE “I got to take Jared Gordon as the pick. I think he's going to clearly land more it's like it's thin margins. Um Jared Gordon generally wins a decision.” $1.41
Recent form last five, most recent first
García11-6-1
W Hernandez Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Gordon KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Pichel Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Dawson KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
W Guida Decision · R3 Apr '23
Gordon21-8
L Miller Submission · R1 May '26
L García KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Moisés KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Haqparast Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Madsen KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23