MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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DL JS Lopes vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight RG JG García vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight KG DS Gastelum vs StoltzfusMain Card · Catchweight SL QL Luna vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight AH CF Hernandez vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight CP JS Puelles vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight TS AL Suarez vs LemosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JA LG Aguilar vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight ZR SD Reese vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight AC AC Costa vs CoriaPreliminary Card · Flyweight MR AP Rendon vs PereiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight RS DD Sezinando vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight RF DM Font vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DT JM Todorović vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Puelles over Silva · Lightweight Our fair value$1.76 1xBet pays above fair $1.84
Where to back Puelles best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US FanDuel $1.81 +3%
UK Betway $1.83 +4%
EU 1xBet $1.84 +5%
AU SportsBet $1.79 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.85
Consensus60 picks · conf 73/99
Puelles 38
22 Silva
BSPKLP pick Puelles
How it endsmethod calls · Puelles · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $14.06
Submission 11 $3.84
Decision 9 $4.69
None 1 $42.19
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Puelles 13-5 VS 14-6 Silva
5'10" height 5'8"
156 lb weight 156 lb
72" reach 69"
30 age 37
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.2 strikes landed / min 3.5
57% striking accuracy 52%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
53% striking defence 60%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
38% takedown accuracy 60%
89% takedown defence 63%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 54%
Consensus38 of 60 analysts
Sharpest anglePuelles by Submission — 11 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Puelles @ $1.84 · fair $1.76 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ES etoft21 sports picks Claudio Puelles VALUE “I'm gonna go ahead and take uh Claudio Puelles to win over Jean Silva.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Claudio Puelles “I'm picking him to win this one by decision.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Joaquim Silva “Joaquim Silva, Бразилиатәи”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Claudio Puelles VALUE “Claudio Puelles, Перу, иҿагылаз”
JA Jarheadislive picks Joaquim Silva “Rufi akkek Kelvin Gastelum NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 qeebi Joaquim Silva”
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Claudio Puelles “We're gonna go with Claudio Puelles.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Claudio Puelles “I'm picking the takedown threat of Pus to get a testy decision.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Joaquim Silva “This is a close one, but I'll lean towards Joaquim Silva to get it done.”
SR SrodrMMABet picks Claudio Puelles “1.3 units in Claudio Puelles at plus 100” $2.00
TM The MMA Mathematician picks Claudio Puelles “I'm just not ever going to pick the jiu-jitsu guy... You got to go Silva here.” $1.95
AO Armchair Octagon picks Joaquim Silva “I'm taking Joaquim Silva on this one.” $1.95
SH Showtime50k picks Claudio Puelles “I'm going to go Claudio Puelles.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Puelles13-5
L Silva Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ziam Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Hooker KO/TKO · R2 Nov '22
W Guida Submission · R1 Apr '22
W Gruetzemacher Submission · R3 Dec '21
Silva14-6
W Puelles Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Klose Decision · R3 May '24
W Guida Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Tsarukyan KO/TKO · R3 Jun '23
W Ronson KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22