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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
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DL JS Lopes vs SilvaMain Card · Featherweight RG JG García vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight KG DS Gastelum vs StoltzfusMain Card · Catchweight SL QL Luna vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight AH CF Hernandez vs FerreiraMain Card · Lightweight CP JS Puelles vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight TS AL Suarez vs LemosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JA LG Aguilar vs GurulePreliminary Card · Flyweight ZR SD Reese vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight AC AC Costa vs CoriaPreliminary Card · Flyweight MR AP Rendon vs PereiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight RS DD Sezinando vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight RF DM Font vs MartínezMain Card · Bantamweight DT JM Todorović vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Sezinando over Donchenko · Welterweight Our fair value$2.68 PlayUp pays above fair $2.80
Where to back Sezinando best price · region · EV vs fair $2.68
US Caesars $2.75 +2%
UK Betway $2.75 +2%
EU Pinnacle $2.79 +4%
AU PlayUp $2.80 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.86
Consensus83 picks · conf 79/99
Sezinando 35
48 Donchenko
TNTPBF pick Sezinando
How it endsmethod calls · Sezinando · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $13.42
Submission 3 $8.95
Decision 5 $5.37
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sezinando 9-2 VS 14-2 Donchenko
5'9" height 5'11"
170 lb weight 170 lb
71" reach 71"
28 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 5.2
— striking accuracy 56%
— strikes absorbed / min 4.1
— striking defence 56%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.6
— takedown accuracy 66%
— takedown defence 82%
— submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 36%
Consensus35 of 83 analysts
Sharpest angleSezinando by Decision — 5 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Sezinando @ $2.80 · fair $2.68 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Daniil Donchenko VALUE “I have Daniil Donchenko winning this fight by TKO KO”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Daniil Donchenko “We got Daniil Donchenko on that one.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Daniil Donchenko VALUE “I'm gonna go I'm gonna go with Daniil Donchenko here.”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Rodrigo Sezinando VALUE “I'm going with Sesanando by submission here.” $2.90
VM Veintitrés MMA picks Rodrigo Sezinando VALUE “মই তাৰ লগত থাকিম সেইটোৱেই জয়ী হ’বলৈ গৈ আছে।”
BO BotmfeederMMA picks Daniil Donchenko “And we're going to go with Daniil Donchenko.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Daniil Donchenko VALUE “I'm going with Daniil Donchenko to get the hand raised.”
PN Picks Nation picks Daniil Donchenko VALUE “So, we're going Daniil Donchenko.”
EV Evod9373 picks Rodrigo Sezinando “Daniil Donchenko versus Rodrigo Sezinando”
HN Hidden Source News picks Daniil Donchenko “I'll pick Daniil Donchenko to win, but I'll also be betting Sesanando as a live underdog in parlays and a straight bet.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Rodrigo Sezinando VALUE “I've personally chosen Rodrigo Sesinando, Jesús Santos Aguilar, Diego Lopes, and Quang Le as my picks for solid underdogs on this card.”
TM Teo Talks MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “Give me Daniil Donchenko to win this fight via decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sezinando9-2
L Donchenko KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
Donchenko14-2
W Berggren KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Morono Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Sezinando KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25