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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
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GB RB Bonfim vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight MS JM Schnell vs MoralesMain Card · Flyweight MS UM Salikhov vs MedićMain Card · Welterweight CP IB Padilla vs BonfimMain Card · Catchweight RS RB Simón vs BarcelosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CD MT Duncan vs TulioMain Card · Middleweight HA JE Amil vs EmmersPreliminary Card · Featherweight MS JC Silva vs CavalcantiPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JH MG Hokit vs GimenisPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MJ DM Johns vs MarcosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TP DG Pennington vs GomesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JM ZR McVey vs ReesePreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Simón over Barcelos · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.53 Paddy Power pays above fair $1.62
Where to back Simón best price · region · EV vs fair $1.53
US FanDuel $1.60 +4%
UK Paddy Power $1.62 +6%
EU Coolbet $1.58 +3%
AU PlayUp $1.58 +3%
Consensus129 picks · conf 99/99
Simón 95
34 Barcelos
TMMBTT pick Simón
How it endsmethod calls · Simón · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $5.37
Decision 5 $2.15
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Simón 20-6 VS 21-5 Barcelos
height 5'7"
weight 136 lb
reach 67"
33 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 5.2
43% striking accuracy 51%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
61% striking defence 61%
5.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
44% takedown accuracy 32%
75% takedown defence 85%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 62%
Consensus95 of 129 analysts
Sharpest angleSimón by Decision — 5 of 7 method calls
Recommendation Back Simón @ $1.62 · fair $1.53 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Ricky Simón “Yeah, I got Ricky Simón as well... I'm going to go Ricky Simón in this one.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Ricky Simón “oh my gosh, I cannot wait for Ricky Simón and Han Raoni Barcelos, but that could be an amazing fight.”
UB UFC Brasil picks Ricky Simón
HZ Hank's War Zone picks Ricky Simón “So, give me are picking, you know, Ricky Simón. So, lot of people went with Ricky Simón.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Ricky Simón “I think Ricky Simón could win. I mean, Ricky Simón is having a difficult I think Ricky Simón should win if he plays win tomorrow.”
MK Morning Kombat picks Ricky Simón “Ricky Simón brings a minus 175 slight betting favorite tag sustainable against a refurbished Ricky Simón who seems to have put a losing done has been tremendous.” $1.57
WP We Want Picks picks Ricky Simón “Ricky Simón's the pick. I will have Ricky Simón in my lineup.”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Ricky Simón “I'm going to go with Ricky Simón here.” $1.53
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Ricky Simón “I might actually lock Ricky Simón.”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Ricky Simón “I like Ricky Simón in this fight... Ricky Simón is going to find that shot here and I think that Ricky Simón is going to put Raoni Barcelos via second round KO... I see Raoni Barcelos suffering a knockout”
DC Dougies Corner picks Ricky Simón “I've got Ricky Simón.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Raoni Barcelos “My pick is Raoni Barcelos”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Simón20-6
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Smotherman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Basharat KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Bautista Decision · R3 Jan '24
Barcelos21-5
W Jackson Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Simón Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Garbrandt Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Talbott Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Quiñonez Submission · R3 Feb '24