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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
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BEST PRICE We back McVey over Reese · Catchweight Our fair value$3.21 Hard Rock Bet pays above fair $3.60
Where to back McVey best price · region · EV vs fair $3.21
US Hard Rock Bet $3.60 +12%
UK Virgin Bet $3.55 +10%
EU Unibet (NL) $3.55 +10%
AU TABtouch $3.55 +10%
Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
McVey 11
18 Reese
MNMJLN pick McVey
How it endsmethod calls · McVey · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $3.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McVey 6-2 VS 10-3 Reese
6'4" height 6'4"
193 lb weight 185 lb
77" reach 77"
27 age 32
Southpaw stance Switch
— strikes landed / min 4.6
— striking accuracy 36%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.7
— striking defence 49%
— takedowns / 15 min 1.7
— takedown accuracy 69%
— takedown defence 64%
— submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 28%
Consensus11 of 29 analysts
Sharpest angleMcVey by KO/TKO — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back McVey @ $3.60 · fair $3.21 +12% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Zachary Reese VALUE “I feel like Zachary Reese is going to knock Jackson McVey out in the first round.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Jackson McVey “I see this as pick Jackson McVey”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Jackson McVey “...”
UB UFC Brasil picks Zachary Reese “Zachary Reese.”
HZ Hank's War Zone picks Zachary Reese “both Zachary Reese beats him in all aspects of this win. And I think that Zachary Reese's BJJ basically. where Zachary Reese, you McVey, Zachary Reese doesn't like fold as think Zachary Reese is going to put it on Zachary Reese by round one KO.”
RX RX picks Zachary Reese “I would pick Zachary Reese to kill Jackson McVey”
WP We Want Picks picks Zachary Reese “I think Zachary Reese gets it done. He can knock out Jackson McVey on the feet.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Jackson McVey “I'm just gonna go with Jackson McVey ... >> Round one submission.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Jackson McVey “to Jackson McVey, that guy for staying Zachary Reese. I don't even have a pick”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Jackson McVey VALUE “I'm going to say Jackson McVey catches him knocks Jackson McVey out. ... I think Jackson McVey is the better jiu-jitsu ... Jackson McVey has value all Jackson McVey is playable.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Jackson McVey “I'm going with Jackson McVey. I think he's going to get a TKO finish.”
MC McManusMMA picks Jackson McVey “I'm gonna go Jackson McVey.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McVey6-2
W Dumas Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Reese Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ferreira Submission · R1 Jul '25
Reese10-3
L Pereira Decision · R3 Feb '26
W McVey Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Todorović Decision · R3 May '25
L Bekoev KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Medina Decision · R3 Aug '24