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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gomes v Pennington Women'S Strawweight Our fair value $1.69 best price — PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Gomes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.69
No regional prices quoted for this fight yet.
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.59
Consensus111 picks · conf 91/99
Pennington 45
66 Gomes
TBTBMS pick Pennington
How it endsmethod calls · Gomes · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $20.24
Decision 11 $1.84
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pennington 14-7 VS 10-3 Gomes
5'1" height 5'2"
114 lb weight 115 lb
61" reach 63"
36 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 4.5
47% striking accuracy 50%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
61% striking defence 51%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
14% takedown accuracy 25%
63% takedown defence 67%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Consensus66 of 111 analysts
Sharpest angleGomes by Decision — 11 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Denise Gomes VALUE “Denise Gomes is going to get this done by decision.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Tecia Pennington “I like Tecia Pennington.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Denise Gomes “Denise's won four out of five. Winner fun fights. So, I could I could see if she knocks if she can finish Tecia Pennington”
HZ Hank's War Zone picks Tecia Pennington “Tecia Pennington could win. and Tecia Pennington, you know, she has because Tecia Pennington is a skilled think Tecia Pennington is going to like, you know, killer instinct than Tecia Pennington.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Denise Gomes “I like Denise Gomes over Tecia Pennington.”
RX RX picks Denise Gomes “I guess Denise Gomes could probably be like minus 130 - 135.”
WP We Want Picks picks Tecia Pennington VALUE “I am picking Tecia Pennington to win this fight.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Denise Gomes “I Denise Gomes by decision”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Denise Gomes “I'm going to go with Denise Gomes.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Tecia Pennington “Tecia Pennington is going to put on a class on Denise Gomes”
HN Hidden Source News picks Denise Gomes “My pick is Denise Gomes to take the win.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Denise Gomes “I do have to favor Denise Gomes. You know, she's minus 180. Tecia Pennington's plus 155. I think, you know, I got to favor Denise Gomes.” $1.56
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pennington14-7
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Pinheiro Decision · R3 May '25
W Esparza Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ricci Decision · R3 May '24
Gomes10-3
W Pennington Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Reed KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Kowalkiewicz Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Moura Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Hill Decision · R3 Nov '23