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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
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BEST PRICE We back Barbosa over Buzukja · Featherweight Our fair value$1.22 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.28
Where to back Barbosa best price · region · EV vs fair $1.22
US BetOnline.ag $1.28 +5%
UK LeoVegas $1.25 +2%
EU Unibet (NL) $1.25 +2%
AU Unibet $1.25 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.28
Consensus145 picks · conf 99/99
Buzukja 19
126 Barbosa
TMVBTM pick Buzukja
How it endsmethod calls · Barbosa · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $1.53
Decision 5 $6.11
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buzukja 12-5 VS 17-2 Barbosa
5'9" height 5'6"
155 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 70"
28 age 28
Switch stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min —
43% striking accuracy —
4.8 strikes absorbed / min —
48% striking defence —
0.6 takedowns / 15 min —
27% takedown accuracy —
75% takedown defence —
0.2 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market82% vs 78%
Consensus126 of 145 analysts
Sharpest angleBarbosa by KO/TKO — 20 of 25 method calls
Recommendation Back Barbosa @ $1.28 · fair $1.22 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Márcio Barbosa “Lock of the card. Give me Márcio Barbosa over Dennis Bazooka.”
J- J-Dog picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “I'm gonna go with Márcio Barbosa.”
MM Mic'd up & Misinformed picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “Márcio Barbosa to the bank in this one, bro. I'm I'm I'm gonna take that on a parlay for sure.” $1.20
SD SDAWGSMMATALK picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “Dennis Buzukja verse Márcio Barbosa”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “leaning pretty heavily towards Márcio Barbosa... put Márcio Barbosa in those parlays” $1.25
MC McManusMMA picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “I'm going with Márcio Barbosa to knock Bazooka out in the first round”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “I'm picking Márcio Barbosa by uh round one knockout”
VM Voice of MMA picks Márcio Barbosa VALUE “I'll take Mike Malott to beat Gilbert Burns”
VM Voice of MMA picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “I finish Dennis Buzukja”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Márcio Barbosa “This is a slam dunk for Márcio Barbosa... I think it's Márcio Barbosa by finish”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Márcio Barbosa “I got Márcio Barbosa. I”
TO The Handsum One picks Dennis Buzukja “Give me Dennis Buzukja Dennis Buzukja upset. Money line only. Dennis Buzukja money line”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buzukja12-5
L Barbosa KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Marshall Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Matthews KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Emmers KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
L Woodson Decision · R3 Aug '23
Barbosa17-2
W Buzukja KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26