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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
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BEST PRICE We back Valentin over Leblanc · Middleweight Our fair value$1.79 Fliff pays above fair $2.10
Where to back Valentin best price · region · EV vs fair $1.79
US Fliff $2.10 +18%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.66 -7%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.70 -5%
AU PlayUp $1.60 -10%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.61
Consensus132 picks · conf 99/99
Leblanc 55
77 Valentin
DRCDCF pick Leblanc
How it endsmethod calls · Valentin · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $5.36
Submission 9 $3.57
Decision 3 $10.71
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Leblanc 10-2 VS 11-6 Valentin
6'2" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 186 lb
— reach 77"
34 age 31
-- stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 0.1
— striking accuracy 50%
— strikes absorbed / min 6.2
— striking defence 19%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.0
— takedown accuracy 0%
— takedown defence 66%
— submissions / 15 min 4.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 48%
Consensus77 of 132 analysts
Sharpest angleValentin by Submission — 9 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Valentin @ $2.10 · fair $1.79 +18% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Julien Leblanc “Give me Julien Leblanc”
J- J-Dog picks Julien Leblanc VALUE “I'm going to go against everyone else's Able Lanc wins.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Julien Leblanc VALUE “I think it's going to be a clean cut decision for the person favored to win... most of the time a clean cut decision for the person favored to win”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Robert Valentin VALUE “I think it's going to be a clean cut decision for the person favored to win... most of the time a clean cut decision for the person favored to win”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Robert Valentin VALUE “Robert Valentin's my most favorite pick of the card... give me Robert Valentin all day.”
CE CeilingMMA picks Robert Valentin “I'm going to go Robert Valentin by TKO.”
MC McManusMMA picks Robert Valentin VALUE “I'm going to go with Julien Leblanc to win this fight by decision”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Julien Leblanc VALUE “I'm picking Julien Leblanc by round three knockout”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Robert Valentin VALUE “I'm picking Robert Valentin by round three knockout”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Robert Valentin “Minus 148 for Robert Valentin” $1.68
MT Mic Talks picks Robert Valentin “needs Robert Valentin to get it done”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robert Valentin “I'm hoping Robert Valentin gets by submission. Plus 240.” $3.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leblanc10-2
L Valentin Submission · R1 Apr '26
Valentin11-6
W Leblanc Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Gautier KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Finney Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Loder KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24