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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
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BEST PRICE We back Croden over Zheleznyakova · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$1.61 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.83
Where to back Croden best price · region · EV vs fair $1.61
US BetOnline.ag $1.83 +14%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.73 +8%
EU Pinnacle $1.76 +9%
AU Bet Right $1.77 +10%
Consensus129 picks · conf 99/99
Croden 95
34 Zheleznyakova
SNMTWA pick Croden
How it endsmethod calls · Croden · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $11.26
Submission 2 $22.53
Decision 22 $2.05
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Croden 7-3 VS 0-0 Zheleznyakova
5'9" height —
136 lb weight —
69" reach —
35 age —
Orthodox stance —
2.9 strikes landed / min —
62% striking accuracy —
3.2 strikes absorbed / min —
54% striking defence —
1.1 takedowns / 15 min —
66% takedown accuracy —
76% takedown defence —
0.4 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market62% vs 55%
Consensus95 of 129 analysts
Sharpest angleCroden by Decision — 22 of 28 method calls
Recommendation Back Croden @ $1.83 · fair $1.61 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
J- J-Dog picks Melissa Croden VALUE “I'm going Melissa Croden, man.”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks Melissa Croden VALUE “I think Melissa Croden ends up beating Dyra via decision or via KO.”
MM MMA Mobsters picks Darya Zheleznyakova VALUE “give me the underdog female Darya Zheleznyakova at plus 122.” $2.22
GM GLO MMA picks Melissa Croden VALUE “She's going to get the [__] submission off that.”
MC McManusMMA picks Melissa Croden VALUE “I'm going Melissa Croden NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 by decision”
US Uselyis picks Melissa Croden “Let's go Melissa Croden for Darya Zheleznyakova”
SC Smash Cast picks Melissa Croden VALUE “we're taking Melissa Croden”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Darya Zheleznyakova “Darya Zheleznyakova at a really good plus number. You Darya Zheleznyakova's got these really long Oh, look, Darya Zheleznyakova's bleeding. That being said, Darya Zheleznyakova will walk forward going to be Darya Zheleznyakova.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Melissa Croden “I picked Melissa Croden. >> we all pick Melissa Croden. >> We all pick Melissa Croden. >> I think it's Melissa Croden.”
WN WMMA Scene Now picks Melissa Croden “go with Melissa Croden to win here.”
MT Mic Talks picks Melissa Croden “let me get Melissa Croden and go, Melissa Croden. over Jamey-Lyn Horth. Melissa Croden is a minus 135” $1.74
NI Nick23mma picks Melissa Croden “I'm gonna go Melissa Croden”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Croden7-3
W Zheleznyakova Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lisboa KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
Zheleznyakova0-0
L Croden Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Pérez Submission · R1 Sep '24
W Rendon Decision · R3 Mar '24