MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Choose a fight to analyse
GB MM Burns vs MalottFight Card · Welterweight KP CJ Phillips vs JourdainFight Card · Bantamweight MN JH Nallo vs HerbertFight Card · Lightweight JJ KS Jasudavicius vs SilvaFight Card · Women'S Flyweight TM GY Moisés vs YoungFight Card · Lightweight DB MB Buzukja vs BarbosaPreliminary Card · Featherweight JL RV Leblanc vs ValentinPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC DZ Croden vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JA JH Aldrich vs HorthPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight JC MV Castañeda vs VologdinPreliminary Card · Catchweight JS JY Siraj vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TB GS Boser vs SarıçamPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Vologdin over Castañeda · Catchweight Our fair value$2.15 Caesars pays above fair $2.40
Where to back Vologdin best price · region · EV vs fair $2.15
US Caesars $2.40 +11%
UK LiveScore Bet $2.25 +4%
EU Pinnacle $2.31 +7%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.25 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.38
Consensus142 picks · conf 99/99
Castañeda 75
67 Vologdin
CWLMTA pick Castañeda
How it endsmethod calls · Vologdin · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $5.39
Decision 6 $3.59
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Castañeda 21-7 VS 12-4-1 Vologdin
— height 5'5"
— weight 136 lb
— reach 65"
34 age 26
Switch stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min —
50% striking accuracy —
5.2 strikes absorbed / min —
54% striking defence —
1.8 takedowns / 15 min —
35% takedown accuracy —
71% takedown defence —
0.1 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market46% vs 42%
Consensus67 of 142 analysts
Sharpest angleVologdin by Decision — 6 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Vologdin @ $2.40 · fair $2.15 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
J- J-Dog picks Mark Vologdin VALUE “I'm going to go with Mark Vulgar in to win.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks John Castañeda VALUE “I think where you can really take advantage in this fight is by landing takedowns... he often goes to decision”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Mark Vologdin VALUE “I think Mark Vologdin is going to be able to wobble Sexy Mexi here... I even think he might even be winning some of the minutes”
SD SDAWGSMMATALK picks Mark Vologdin VALUE “We're going with Mark Vologdin in”
GM GLO MMA picks John Castañeda VALUE “Mark Vulden to get this [__] done via first round KO.”
CE CeilingMMA picks John Castañeda “I'm going to go with John Castañeda based on his range and UFC grit and experience”
MC McManusMMA picks John Castañeda VALUE “I'm going to go with Vagden on this one”
US Uselyis picks Mark Vologdin “I'm taking Mark Vologdin”
VM Voice of MMA picks Mark Vologdin VALUE “I'm taking Mark Vologdin over John Castañeda”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks John Castañeda “my money's just lean John Castañeda just cuz of the could fall into that. ... So, I'll lean John Castañeda”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks John Castañeda “I have John Castañeda winning. I I'm leaning John Castañeda right now.”
UG UFC Genie picks Mark Vologdin “I'm actually going with Mark Vologdin ... I'm going to go with Mark Vologdin here to But I'm going Mark Vologdin in here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Castañeda21-7
L Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Marcos Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Kyung-ho Decision · R3 Nov '23
W Gafurov Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Santos KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
Vologdin12-4-1
No settled fights on record.