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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
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CM MH McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight BD PP Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight CS MB Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight BR LK Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight KG TM Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight RW NK Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CG AY Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight LR KI Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight TC WC Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DP CA Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight RG ZR Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight GS EE Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back McGregor over Holloway · Welterweight Our fair value$2.50 Betsson pays above fair $3.05
Where to back McGregor best price · region · EV vs fair $2.50
US BetOnline.ag $3.00 +20%
UK LiveScore Bet $2.95 +18%
EU Betsson $3.05 +22%
AU TABtouch $2.95 +18%
Consensus110 picks · conf 90/99
McGregor 61
49 Holloway
PPTMRP pick McGregor
How it endsmethod calls · McGregor · crowd line
KO/TKO 10 $2.75
Decision 1 $27.46
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McGregor 22-6 VS 0-0 Holloway
5'9" height 5'11"
156 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 69"
37 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 6.8
49% striking accuracy 46%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
54% striking defence 59%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
55% takedown accuracy 39%
66% takedown defence 79%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market40% vs 33%
Consensus61 of 110 analysts
Line move · 7d$3.10 → $3.05
Sharpest angleMcGregor by KO/TKO — 10 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back McGregor @ $3.05 · fair $2.50 +22% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA Junkie picks Conor McGregor “I personally I think I would give it to Conor McGregor.”
FI fightorbitx picks Conor McGregor “Personally, I think because of that welterweight, I see Conor McGregor knocking him out.”
FI fightorbitx picks Max Holloway “No, I think that Max Holloway going to win. I'm super from Max Holloway, you know, but he's fighting more, you know, and Conor McGregor is 5 years without fight, so I don't think he going to beat the Max Holloway Holloway.”
TH TheMacLife picks Conor McGregor “I'm going through, Max Holloway. It is what it is. Max Holloway, you're not going to lay a glove on me. It's another world here against me. And it's another world at this weight. Conor McGregor. Too easy.”
MI Mighty picks Max Holloway “I'm going to go with Max Holloway with this one. just think Max Holloway has just been fighting a lot of people lately.”
FB Fight Bouts picks Max Holloway “I'm picking Max Holloway to win this fight, by the way. Just before we get into anything, I'm picking Max Holloway Max Holloway to win the fight. And I'm picking Max Holloway to win the fight with very high confidence.”
MM Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Conor McGregor “I'm picking Conor Conor McGregor by first round TKO.”
AN Anninukichild picks Max Holloway “My prediction is I think Max Holloway's going to win it by decision after five rounds.”
DI DIORPIUM picks Conor McGregor “I'm going to go Conor McGregor by decision.”
HF Home of Fight picks Conor McGregor “I can't bet on the fights, but if I could, I'd bet the house on Conor McGregor Conor McGregor.”
CE CertifiedMMAsian picks Max Holloway “I see this fight ending by knockout. I don't think this fight goes the full five rounds.”
C5 Carter Boyzzz 513 picks Conor McGregor “And I'm just going to pick Conor McGregor.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McGregor22-6
L Poirier KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21
L Poirier KO/TKO · R2 Jan '21
W Cerrone KO/TKO · R1 Jan '20
L Nurmagomedov Submission · R4 Oct '18
W Alvarez KO/TKO · R2 Nov '16
Holloway0-0
L Oliveira Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Poirier Decision · R5 Jul '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Gaethje KO/TKO · R5 Apr '24
W Chan-sung KO/TKO · R3 Aug '23