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McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
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Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
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Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
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Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
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Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
LR
KI
Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Pimblett
over Saint Denis · Lightweight
Our fair value$2.13
pays above fair
$2.31
Best prices · Pimblett
BetOnline.ag · US
$2.30
LiveScore Bet · UK
$2.28
Coolbet · EU
$2.31
Unibet · AU
$2.28
Where to back Pimblett
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.13
US
BetOnline.ag
$2.30
+8%
BetOnline.ag
$2.30
+8%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$2.28
+7%
LiveScore Bet
$2.28
+7%
EU
Coolbet
$2.31
+8%
Coolbet
$2.31
+8%
AU
Unibet
$2.28
+7%
Unibet
$2.28
+7%
How it endsmethod calls · Pimblett · crowd line
Submission
6
$2.13
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Saint Denis 16-3
VS
23-3 Pimblett
5'11"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
73"
reach
73"
30
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.9
40%
striking accuracy
53%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
73%
striking defence
40%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
57%
takedown accuracy
25%
54%
takedown defence
52%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
2.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market47% vs 43%
Consensus19 of 35 analysts
Line move · 7d$2.42 → $2.32
Sharpest anglePimblett by Submission — 6 of 6 method calls
Recommendation
Back Pimblett @ $2.31 · fair $2.13
+8% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis.”
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Paddy Pimblett
“You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett cuz I think this fight's going to go like it's either Patty actually knocks out Benoît Saint Denis because we've seen him just have a sus chin before.”
DIORPIUM picks Paddy Pimblett
“You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett. You have to go with Paddy Pimblett cuz I think this fight's going to go like it's either Patty actually knocks out Benoît Saint Denis because we've seen him just have a sus chin before.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Benoît Saint Denis
“opportunistic submissions from Benoît Saint Denis”
CertifiedMMAsian picks Benoît Saint Denis
“opportunistic submissions from Benoît Saint Denis”
C5
Carter Boyzzz 513 picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning it either by submission or by a KO.”
Carter Boyzzz 513 picks Paddy Pimblett
“I see Paddy Pimblett winning it either by submission or by a KO.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think I'm gonna pick Paddy Pimblett to win this one by knockout.”
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think I'm gonna pick Paddy Pimblett to win this one by knockout.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“my pick, give me the man who had some good moments against the current champion. Give me Paddy Pimblett to make the improvements defensively in the striking and be able to get this fight to the ground and out control Benoît Saint Denis Saint Denise early on in this fight. And I actually think that I'm going to go with Paddy Pimblett by second round submission after dealing with some adversity early on but probably catching a kick and getting to BSD's back out controlling him hitting him with ground and pounding sinking in a rear naked choke in late round two.”
Work Break MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“my pick, give me the man who had some good moments against the current champion. Give me Paddy Pimblett to make the improvements defensively in the striking and be able to get this fight to the ground and out control Benoît Saint Denis Saint Denise early on in this fight. And I actually think that I'm going to go with Paddy Pimblett by second round submission after dealing with some adversity early on but probably catching a kick and getting to BSD's back out controlling him hitting him with ground and pounding sinking in a rear naked choke in late round two.”
TL
The Burt Locker picks Benoît Saint Denis
“On balance, I am taking Benois Saint in this one.”
The Burt Locker picks Benoît Saint Denis
“On balance, I am taking Benois Saint in this one.”
PP
Pure Picks picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett by submission.”
Pure Picks picks Paddy Pimblett
“I'm going to go Paddy Pimblett by submission.”
FC
Fight For Casuals picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett's going to absolutely annihilate him.”
Fight For Casuals picks Paddy Pimblett
“Paddy Pimblett's going to absolutely annihilate him.”
MM
MMA Monkey MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I do believe Patty's going to win decision.”
MMA Monkey MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I do believe Patty's going to win decision.”
GM
Generación MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“Uh, I think Benoît Saint Denis is going to win, but I think Py Paddy Pimblett is supporting it.”
Generación MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“Uh, I think Benoît Saint Denis is going to win, but I think Py Paddy Pimblett is supporting it.”
GM
Generación MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think the son from Liverpool is going to win. I think he's going to win.”
Generación MMA picks Paddy Pimblett
“I think the son from Liverpool is going to win. I think he's going to win.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Saint Denis16-3
W
Hooker
Feb '26
W
Dariush
Nov '25
W
Ruffy
Sep '25
W
Prepolec
May '25
L
Moicano
Sep '24
Pimblett23-3
L
Gaethje
Jan '26
W
Chandler
Apr '25
W
Green
Jul '24
W
Ferguson
Dec '23
W
Gordon
Dec '22