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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
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CM MH McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight BD PP Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight CS MB Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight BR LK Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight KG TM Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight RW NK Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CG AY Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight LR KI Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight TC WC Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DP CA Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight RG ZR Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight GS EE Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Kavanagh over Royval · Flyweight Our fair value$1.35 Paddy Power pays above fair $1.50
Where to back Kavanagh best price · region · EV vs fair $1.35
US BetMGM $1.48 +10%
UK Paddy Power $1.50 +11%
EU 1xBet $1.47 +9%
AU Neds $1.48 +10%
Consensus24 picks · conf 48/99
Royval 2
22 Kavanagh
FD pick Royval
How it endsmethod calls · Kavanagh · crowd line
Decision 4 $1.35
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7 VS 9-1 Kavanagh
5'9" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 126 lb
68" reach 67"
33 age 27
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.1
39% striking accuracy 50%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
47% striking defence 54%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
75% takedown accuracy 40%
45% takedown defence 82%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market74% vs 67%
Consensus22 of 24 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.57 → $1.50
Sharpest angleKavanagh by Decision — 4 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Kavanagh @ $1.50 · fair $1.35 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I'm going to take Lone'er Kavanagh here just cuz he's younger.”
DI DIORPIUM picks Brandon Royval “I'm going with Brandon Royval just based off experience just ah man.”
CE CertifiedMMAsian picks Lone'er Kavanagh “Give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win. I'm not entirely sure if it's going to be knockout or decision as of yet. I lean decision, but you know, when I see odds as the week progresses, my mind might change. But right now, give me Lone'er Kavanagh by decision or fight to go to decision.”
TO TonyHasDiedMMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I'm going to pick Leonardo Lone'er Kavanagh to win this one by decision.”
WM Work Break MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh “give me Lone'er Kavanagh to win this fight by a 29-28 decision, outstriking Brandon Royval in rounds one and two before gassing out and making the last round close.”
PP Pure Picks picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I'm going to side with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
FC Fight For Casuals picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I not even knowing the odds, I think it's going to go to Looney Lone'er Kavanagh. I think it's absolutely going to go to decision.”
MM MMA Monkey MMA picks Lone'er Kavanagh “Lone'er Kavanagh is going to win this KO.”
WO wokski picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I think Lone'er Kavanagh gets it done.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lone'er Kavanagh “we're going with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
HB Half The Battle picks Lone'er Kavanagh “my official pick is going to be Lone'er Kavanagh to come out here and defeat Brandon Royval and keep climbing those ranks.”
AS ASMbaRnes picks Lone'er Kavanagh “I'm going with Lone'er Kavanagh.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Taira Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 Dec '23
Kavanagh9-1
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
W Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Ochoa Decision · R3 Nov '24