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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
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CM MH McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight BD PP Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight CS MB Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight BR LK Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight KG TM Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight RW NK Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CG AY Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight LR KI Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight TC WC Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DP CA Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight RG ZR Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight GS EE Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Pinas over Almeida · Middleweight Our fair value$1.45 LeoVegas pays above fair $1.54
Where to back Pinas best price · region · EV vs fair $1.45
US BetOnline.ag $1.50 +3%
UK LeoVegas $1.54 +6%
EU Coolbet $1.50 +3%
AU PlayUp $1.50 +3%
Consensus18 picks · conf 40/99
Pinas 14
4 Almeida
TBTDmF pick Pinas
How it endsmethod calls · Pinas · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $4.35
Decision 2 $2.18
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pinas 8-1 VS 6-1 Almeida
6'1" height 6'1"
185 lb weight 185 lb
79" reach 74"
24 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 4.1
— striking accuracy 57%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.2
— striking defence 47%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.0
— takedown accuracy 0%
— takedown defence 57%
— submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market69% vs 65%
Consensus14 of 18 analysts
Line move · 7d$1.56 → $1.50
Sharpest anglePinas by Decision — 2 of 3 method calls
Recommendation Back Pinas @ $1.54 · fair $1.45 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks César Almeida “Yeah, I'm picking Caesar Ala.”
DI DIORPIUM picks Damian Pinas “I'm going to go Damian Pinas by decision.”
CE CertifiedMMAsian picks Damian Pinas “Give me Damian Pinas by knockout, man.”
TO TonyHasDiedMMA picks Damian Pinas “I'm going to pick Damian Pinas to just go out there and chin César Almeida in the first round.”
WM Work Break MMA picks Damian Pinas “give me Damian Pinas Damian Pinas to win this fight by an explosive first round knockout and get a massive jump up in the rankings.”
PP Pure Picks picks César Almeida “I'm actually going to go with the veteran César Almeida.”
FC Fight For Casuals picks Damian Pinas “I'm rooting for Damian Pinas here. I'm I'm going to go for I'm going for Damian Pinas.”
WO wokski picks Damian Pinas “I think Damian Pinas is gonna, you know, finish him at some point later on in the fight.”
HB Half The Battle picks César Almeida “I'm going to pick Duran to come out here and get his arm raised and start a new win streak.”
HB Half The Battle picks Damian Pinas “I'm gonna pick Damian Pinas to win this fight.”
RP Rparqs picks Damian Pinas “I'm gonna lean I'm gonna take Dom in here, man.”
FM Fresh Start MMA picks Damian Pinas “I'm rocking with Damian Pinas, man.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pinas8-1
W Schultz KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
Almeida6-1
L Oleksiejczuk Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Alhassan KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Potieria Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Kopylov Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Budka KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24