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CM
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
LR
KI
Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MH
McGregor vs HollowayMain Card · Welterweight
BD
PP
Denis vs PimblettMain Card · Lightweight
CS
MB
Sandhagen vs BautistaMain Card · Bantamweight
BR
LK
Royval vs KavanaghMain Card · Flyweight
KG
TM
Green vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
RW
NK
Whittaker vs KrylovPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CG
AY
Garbrandt vs YañezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
LR
KI
Riley vs IIIPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TC
WC
Cortez vs CongEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
DP
CA
Pinas vs AlmeidaEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
RG
ZR
Gandra vs ReeseEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
GS
EE
Steveson vs EllisonPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Bautista
over Sandhagen · Bantamweight
Our fair value$2.22
pays above fair
$2.35
Best prices · Bautista
BetOnline.ag · US
$2.30
Paddy Power · UK
$2.25
Pinnacle · EU
$2.32
Ladbrokes AU · AU
$2.35
Where to back Bautista
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.22
US
BetOnline.ag
$2.30
+4%
BetOnline.ag
$2.30
+4%
UK
Paddy Power
$2.25
+2%
Paddy Power
$2.25
+2%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.32
+5%
Pinnacle
$2.32
+5%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$2.35
+6%
Ladbrokes AU
$2.35
+6%
How it endsmethod calls · Bautista · crowd line
Submission
1
$11.08
Decision
4
$2.77
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sandhagen 18-6
VS
16-3 Bautista
5'11"
height
5'9"
134 lb
weight
135 lb
70"
reach
69"
34
age
33
Switch
stance
Switch
3.9
strikes landed / min
5.3
53%
striking accuracy
47%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
52%
striking defence
54%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
66%
takedown accuracy
33%
83%
takedown defence
66%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 43%
Consensus13 of 25 analysts
Line move · 7d$2.30 → $2.35
Sharpest angleBautista by Decision — 4 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Bautista @ $2.35 · fair $2.22
+6% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going to take Cory Sandhagen by I'm going to say a 2928 decision.”
Marlon Rodriguez MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going to take Cory Sandhagen by I'm going to say a 2928 decision.”
DI
DIORPIUM picks Mario Bautista
“I'm gonna say Mario Bautista robbery decision and everyone's mad.”
DIORPIUM picks Mario Bautista
“I'm gonna say Mario Bautista robbery decision and everyone's mad.”
CE
CertifiedMMAsian picks Mario Bautista
“I lean Mario Bautista decision just like 5545 just because he's the underdog here and I think it's a close fight.”
CertifiedMMAsian picks Mario Bautista
“I lean Mario Bautista decision just like 5545 just because he's the underdog here and I think it's a close fight.”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna pick Cory Sandhagen in here to get this one done by decision.”
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna pick Cory Sandhagen in here to get this one done by decision.”
WM
Work Break MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna have to go with Cory Sandhagen here to win a very close split decision fight where his damage and the striking gets it done.”
Work Break MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm gonna have to go with Cory Sandhagen here to win a very close split decision fight where his damage and the striking gets it done.”
PP
Pure Picks picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go with Mario Bautista by decision.”
Pure Picks picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to go with Mario Bautista by decision.”
FC
Fight For Casuals picks Mario Bautista
“I got Mario Bautista.”
Fight For Casuals picks Mario Bautista
“I got Mario Bautista.”
MM
MMA Monkey MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“we're taking Cory Sandhagen. I think it's Cory Sandhagen. It's going to be Cory Sandhagen decision.”
MMA Monkey MMA picks Cory Sandhagen
“we're taking Cory Sandhagen. I think it's Cory Sandhagen. It's going to be Cory Sandhagen decision.”
WO
wokski picks Mario Bautista
“I do think Bautist Mario Bautista wins a decision here.”
wokski picks Mario Bautista
“I do think Bautist Mario Bautista wins a decision here.”
HB
Half The Battle picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to pick Mario Bautista to come out here and upset Cory Sandhagen and win the rematch.”
Half The Battle picks Mario Bautista
“I'm going to pick Mario Bautista to come out here and upset Cory Sandhagen and win the rematch.”
AS
ASMbaRnes picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going with Cory Sandhagen for this fight.”
ASMbaRnes picks Cory Sandhagen
“I'm going with Cory Sandhagen for this fight.”
RP
Rparqs picks Mario Bautista
“I'm picking Mario Bautista, man.”
Rparqs picks Mario Bautista
“I'm picking Mario Bautista, man.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sandhagen18-6
L
Dvalishvili
Oct '25
W
Figueiredo
May '25
L
Nurmagomedov
Aug '24
W
Font
Aug '23
W
Vera
Mar '23
Bautista16-3
W
Oliveira
Feb '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
W
Mix
Jun '25
W
Aldo
Oct '24
W
Simón
Jan '24