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UFC on ESPN: Gamrot vs. Klein
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BEST PRICE We back Gamrot over Klein · Lightweight Our fair value$1.63 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.68
Where to back Gamrot best price · region · EV vs fair $1.63
US BetOnline.ag $1.68 +3%
UK Grosvenor $1.62 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.68 +3%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.65 +1%
Consensus71 picks · conf 76/99
Gamrot 47
24 Klein
ATT9RE pick Gamrot
How it endsmethod calls · Gamrot · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $27.71
Submission 2 $27.71
Decision 29 $1.91
None 1 $55.42
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gamrot 26-4 VS 11-5 Klein
5'10" height 6'1"
156 lb weight 206 lb
70" reach 63"
35 age —
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.7
55% striking accuracy 56%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
68% striking defence 49%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
44% takedown accuracy 30%
89% takedown defence 55%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 60%
Consensus47 of 71 analysts
Sharpest angleGamrot by Decision — 29 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Back Gamrot @ $1.68 · fair $1.63 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “a vitória de Mateusz Gamrot contra o Ľudovít Klein, pagando 1,58. Ganhro vem de uma derrota preocupante ali contra o Dan Hooker, né, numa decisão dividida.”
TP The Wally Report Podcast picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “We're all taking Mateusz Mateusz Gamrott in this.” $1.56
WW Wages & Warriors picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “I think Klein in this one, he's going to go the full rounds of the fight” $2.30
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Ľudovít Klein VALUE “yo pienso que Ludovy Clin puede ganar esta pelea” $2.20
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Ľudovít Klein “Ľudovít Klein takes on the seventh ranked lightweight contender, Mateusz Gamrot”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “We know that he's going to want to come in here, press forward with a pace, and out grapple and out wrestle Ľudovít Klein. And that's honestly his best path to victory”
TO The Handsum One picks Ľudovít Klein “I had to take Ľudovít Klein in the fight that he is scheduled to have with Mateusz Gamrot... and win a decision most likely.”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot “a main card parlay of every single fighter I have chosen on the main card to win. ... Mateusz Gamrot”
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Ľudovít Klein VALUE “give me Ludovic Ľudovít Klein here on the money line at plus 140 as our first underdog.” $2.40
HN Hidden Source News picks Ľudovít Klein VALUE “We're picking Ľudovít Klein as a live dog”
TT Teep talk picks Mateusz Gamrot “I got Mateusz Gamrot.” $1.65
NO Northwest425 picks Mateusz Gamrot “I just think Mateusz Gamrot going to get it done with his wrestling. So, that's my pick for that.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gamrot26-4
W Ribovics Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Klein Decision · R3 May '25
L Hooker Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Anjos Decision · R3 Mar '24
Klein11-5
W Rębecki Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Gamrot Decision · R3 May '25
W Roberts Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Moisés Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Cunningham KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24