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BEST PRICE We back dos Santos over Ardelean · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$1.40 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.48
Where to back dos Santos best price · region · EV vs fair $1.40
US BetOnline.ag $1.48 +6%
UK Betway $1.44 +3%
EU Pinnacle $1.46 +5%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.45 +4%
Consensus45 picks · conf 66/99
dos Santos 35
10 Ardelean
ABTJVE pick dos Santos
How it endsmethod calls · dos Santos · crowd line
Submission 3 $10.24
Decision 18 $1.71
None 1 $30.71
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
dos Santos 14-9 VS 12-7 Ardelean
5'2" height 5'3"
116 lb weight 116 lb
62" reach 62"
31 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.2 strikes landed / min 6.0
50% striking accuracy 50%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
48% striking defence 48%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.9
73% takedown accuracy 33%
67% takedown defence 72%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 68%
Consensus35 of 45 analysts
Sharpest angledos Santos by Decision — 18 of 22 method calls
Recommendation Back dos Santos @ $1.48 · fair $1.40 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Rayanne dos Santos VALUE “vitória da Rayanne dos Santos contra Alice Ardelean pagando 1,34, duas atletas que ainda não venceram na organização, mas dentro dessas derrotas que elas sofreram, a Raiane mostrou bem mais potencial.”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Alice Ardelean “Alice Ardelean takes on Rayanne dos Santos”
CM Coty MMA picks Alice Ardelean VALUE “I'm on the underdog here. Plus 250, Alise Ardelene.” $3.50
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Rayanne dos Santos VALUE “I've picked Rayanne dos Santos, Andreas Gustafson, Zachary Reese, and Dustin Jacobe.”
TS The SM Show picks Alice Ardelean VALUE “But I might go with Alice Ardelean for the for the with the with the underdog.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Rayanne dos Santos “I do see a case to where, you know, the favorite should be able to get this one done um by getting her wrestling and getting um you know um the grappling going and getting Alice Arland down to the ground.” $1.48
MR MMA ROACH picks Alice Ardelean “I'm going to pick Ray Dos Santos to win.”
BM Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Rayanne dos Santos “But Rayanne dos Santos is the pick.”
PM Prop Queen Media picks Alice Ardelean VALUE “I think you got to throw something on Alice Ardelean in that first fight of the night.” $3.50
EM Evan MMA picks Rayanne dos Santos “I'm gonna go with Rayanne dos Santos to win this fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Rayanne dos Santos VALUE “Ryan dos Santo should win this fight. She'll move forward. She'll get some takedowns. She'll stay in her face.” $1.33
VU Valter Walker UFC picks Rayanne dos Santos “Eu vou de Rayanne dos Santos porque é brasileira”
Recent form last five, most recent first
dos Santos14-9
L Ardelean Decision · R3 May '25
L Tomar Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Alencar Decision · R3 Dec '23
Ardelean12-7
W Viana Submission · R2 May '26
W Ruiz Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Santos Decision · R3 May '25
L Martinez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Bannon Decision · R3 Jul '24