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BEST PRICE We back Holobaugh over Leavitt · Lightweight Our fair value$2.78 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $3.25
Where to back Holobaugh best price · region · EV vs fair $2.78
US BetOnline.ag $3.25 +17%
UK Betway $3.00 +8%
EU Pinnacle $3.10 +12%
AU TAB $3.05 +10%
Consensus54 picks · conf 71/99
Holobaugh 23
31 Leavitt
TAJTET pick Holobaugh
How it endsmethod calls · Holobaugh · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $11.10
Submission 1 $22.21
Decision 4 $5.55
None 1 $22.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Holobaugh 22-10 VS 13-4 Leavitt
5'11" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 71"
39 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.6 strikes landed / min 4.8
45% striking accuracy 57%
4.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
47% striking defence 68%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
33% takedown accuracy 61%
42% takedown defence 75%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market36% vs 31%
Consensus23 of 54 analysts
Sharpest angleHolobaugh by Decision — 4 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Holobaugh @ $3.25 · fair $2.78 +17% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Coty MMA picks Jordan Leavitt “I bet Levit at minus 162.” $1.62
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “I do have a unit on Kurt Holobaugh.”
GP Ground"N"Pound Podcast picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I think he comes in and gets those takedowns and gets top control here for the first leg of our confident parlay.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Jordan Leavitt “picked Jordan Jordan Leavitt”
TP Tony's Picks picks Jordan Leavitt “I think Jordan Leavitt wins in this one and give me the uh over two and a half in this one.” $1.46
MR MMA ROACH picks Kurt Holobaugh “I'm going to go with Kurt Holobaugh on this one.”
BM Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Jordan Leavitt “Give me Levit by decision.”
BM Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Kurt Holobaugh “I think this is honestly a pretty easy one for Jordan Leavitt.”
LM Lyfties MMA picks Kurt Holobaugh “I'm just going to go ahead and pick Kurt Holobaugh because he just looks like he's going to get it done.”
TC The "CASUAL" Cam picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “Kurt Holobaugh was the first underdog straight that I played this week.”
WP We Want Picks picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE “I also think he wins. He's fighting a very one-dimensional guy.” $2.85
EB ESPN BET picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “One unit on Jordan Leavitt to win in over one and a half rounds.” $1.43
Recent form last five, most recent first
Holobaugh22-10
L Leavitt Submission · R1 May '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Kruschewsky Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Ogden Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Hubbard Submission · R2 Aug '23
Leavitt13-4
L Brito Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Valle Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Holobaugh Submission · R1 May '25
L Hooper Submission · R1 Nov '23
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23