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BEST PRICE
We back
Reese
over Todorović · Middleweight
Our fair value$1.36
Where to back Reese
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.36
US
FanDuel
$1.48
+9%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.50
+10%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.45
+6%
AU
Neds
$1.48
+9%
How it endsmethod calls · Reese · crowd line
KO/TKO
36
$1.63
Submission
2
$29.29
Decision
4
$14.64
None
1
$58.58
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Reese 10-3
VS
13-6 Todorović
6'4"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
186 lb
77"
reach
74"
32
age
32
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
4.1
36%
striking accuracy
65%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.1
49%
striking defence
47%
1.7
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
69%
takedown accuracy
51%
64%
takedown defence
82%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 67%
Consensus40 of 46 analysts
Sharpest angleReese by KO/TKO — 36 of 43 method calls
Recommendation
Back Reese @ $1.50 · fair $1.36
+10% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TP
The Wally Report Podcast picks Duško Todorović VALUE
“Richie Boy has the cojones to take Duško Todorović against us.”
TP
The Wally Report Podcast picks Zachary Reese VALUE
“I got to stay smart and take Zachary Reese. Nico and I are both taking Zachary Reese.”
$1.34
BE
BetSam picks Zachary Reese VALUE
“Our first parlay piece that is Betsam approved is gonna be Zachary Reese. ... I think Zachary Reese gets it done inside a round and a half. That's why I think he's safe to paralle.”
MR
MMA ROACH picks Zachary Reese
“I'm going to rely on Zachary Reesese to [ __ ] him up.”
BM
Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Zachary Reese
“I think I'm going to take Zachary Reese here. Um maybe Zach Ree by KO”
CM
Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Zachary Reese
“Para mim, Zaker Reiz leva esse combate”
WP
We Want Picks picks Zachary Reese VALUE
“Zachary Reeseary Zachary Reeseary Reese should win this fight. We've seen the insane power in his hands. He's got very good jiu-jitsu.”
PN
Picks Nation picks Zachary Reese VALUE
“This is saying he hits more than that in 65% of the simulation. So, we'll go ahead and we're going to trust that”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Zachary Reese VALUE
“most are expecting he will win this fight via KO TKO”
$1.41
TA
TalkAboutMMA picks Zachary Reese
“And I think that Zachary Zachary Reesesese probably knocks him out pretty fast. Be pretty brutal.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Reese10-3
L
Pereira
Feb '26
W
McVey
Nov '25
W
Todorović
May '25
L
Bekoev
Jan '25
W
Medina
Aug '24
Todorović13-6
W
Medina
Sep '25
L
Reese
May '25
L
Abdul-Malik
Nov '24
L
Duncan
Mar '23
W
Wright
Oct '22