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UFC on ESPN: Gamrot vs. Klein
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EB MB Blanchfield vs BarberFight Card · Catchweight MG ĽK Gamrot vs KleinFight Card · Lightweight DJ BL Jacoby vs LopesFight Card · Light Heavyweight ZR DT Reese vs TodorovićFight Card · Middleweight JF AN Filho vs NascimentoPreliminary Card · Catchweight KV MC Vieira vs ChiassonFight Card · Women'S Featherweight KH JL Holobaugh vs LeavittPreliminary Card · Lightweight RS AA Santos vs ArdeleanPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RB BG Brahimaj vs GoffFight Card · Welterweight BO MA Oki vs AswellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Jacoby over Lopes · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.50 BetUS pays above fair $1.56
Where to back Jacoby best price · region · EV vs fair $1.50
US BetUS $1.56 +4%
UK Grosvenor $1.55 +3%
EU Everygame $1.55 +3%
AU Unibet $1.55 +3%
Consensus70 picks · conf 76/99
Jacoby 52
18 Lopes
TABTTH pick Jacoby
How it endsmethod calls · Jacoby · crowd line
KO/TKO 21 $1.93
Decision 5 $8.12
None 1 $40.58
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1 VS 14-3 Lopes
6'3" height 6'2"
204 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 74"
38 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.1
65% striking accuracy 36%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
64% striking defence 57%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
38% takedown accuracy 46%
61% takedown defence 88%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market67% vs 64%
Consensus52 of 70 analysts
Sharpest angleJacoby by KO/TKO — 21 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Jacoby @ $1.56 · fair $1.50 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The Wally Report Podcast picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “We're all taking Dustin Jacoby.” $1.52
WW Wages & Warriors picks Bruno Lopes VALUE “I'm taking Bruno to win at plus 165” $2.65
CM Coty MMA picks Dustin Jacoby “give me Jacobe. I bet him at minus 170” $1.59
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I have ended up choosing Dustin Jacoby as my favorite lock of the card.”
TS The SM Show picks Dustin Jacoby “I feel like he'll get the job done here either by decision or finish.”
BE BetSam picks Bruno Lopes VALUE “Give me Bruno Lopez at almost a three to one underdog. I'm in. ... Bruno Lopes here, he's on a good streak. He's coming through.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Dustin Jacoby “Our pick is Dustin Jacoby”
TT Teep talk picks Bruno Lopes VALUE “I am choosing Bruno Lopes” $2.54
TP Tony's Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I think Dustin Jacobyy should win.” $2.90
MR MMA ROACH picks Dustin Jacoby “I'm going to go with Dustin Jacoby next.”
BM Bogman Financial Sports Risk Management picks Dustin Jacoby “I'm going to take Jacobe here.”
LM Lyfties MMA picks Bruno Lopes VALUE “my official pick is going to be Bruno Lopes. I think this fight will be close. But I think Bruno Lopes gets it done by decision.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23
Lopes14-3
L Stirling KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Gadzhiyasulov Decision · R3 Jan '25