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RM
BD
Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
NI
BA
Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
WG
JB
Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
BB
KJ
Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight
MC
GM
Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight
FZ
MF
Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
IC
IE
Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
JD
Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
RR
Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TL
VM
Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
DZ
Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DB
VA
Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JC
NC
Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CD
BO
Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BD
Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
NI
BA
Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
WG
JB
Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
BB
KJ
Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight
MC
GM
Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight
FZ
MF
Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
IC
IE
Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
JD
Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
RR
Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TL
VM
Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
DZ
Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DB
VA
Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JC
NC
Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CD
BO
Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Moicano
over Saint Denis · Lightweight
Our fair value$2.78
pays above fair
$3.40
Best prices · Moicano
BetMGM · US
$3.40
LiveScore Bet · UK
$3.20
Betsson · EU
$3.40
Neds · AU
$3.40
Where to back Moicano
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.78
US
BetMGM
$3.40
+22%
BetMGM
$3.40
+22%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$3.20
+15%
LiveScore Bet
$3.20
+15%
EU
BET
Betsson
$3.40
+22%
AU
Neds
$3.40
+22%
Neds
$3.40
+22%
How it endsmethod calls · Moicano · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$5.56
Submission
3
$5.56
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Moicano 20-7-1
VS
16-3 Saint Denis
5'11"
height
5'11"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
73"
37
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.4
49%
striking accuracy
40%
3.6
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
60%
striking defence
73%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
44%
takedown accuracy
57%
72%
takedown defence
54%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market36% vs 29%
Consensus9 of 18 analysts
Sharpest angleMoicano by KO/TKO — 3 of 6 method calls
Recommendation
Back Moicano @ $3.40 · fair $2.78
+22% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Renato Moicano
“this is crazy but I'm gonna pick Renato Moicano Renato Moicano ston is going to be looking for is Renato Moicano knows that this is his last Renato Moicano the plus 222 so Renato Moicano here”
$3.22
The MMA-Holes picks Renato Moicano
“this is crazy but I'm gonna pick Renato Moicano Renato Moicano ston is going to be looking for is Renato Moicano knows that this is his last Renato Moicano the plus 222 so Renato Moicano here”
$3.22
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I think guys the best play like as a winner I would go with Renato Moicano until he loses...I do think Renato Moicano is a live dog...I'm also going to lean give withano just because...uh I'm all over Nassourdine Imavov imov in that fight wait no earlier: official picks I like fights to start round three in the Beno Benoît Saint Denis fight I'm also going to lean give withano”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I think guys the best play like as a winner I would go with Renato Moicano until he loses...I do think Renato Moicano is a live dog...I'm also going to lean give withano just because...uh I'm all over Nassourdine Imavov imov in that fight wait no earlier: official picks I like fights to start round three in the Beno Benoît Saint Denis fight I'm also going to lean give withano”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“my subscribers and I went with Benoît Saint Denis”
$1.37
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“my subscribers and I went with Benoît Saint Denis”
$1.37
EM
Elijah House MMA picks Renato Moicano
“it's Renato Moicano because he's boring um he I mean I Renato Moicano I think it's going to be a super think he's going to rock Renato Moicano a couple them but um off skill I think Renato Moicano is well-rounded advantage to Renato Moicano as he can I'Nassourdine Imavov going Renato Moicano just off what we've seen downfall Renato Moicano will lose before he gets a little bad side and Benoît Saint Denis is Benoît Saint Denis has the ability to do that I give it to Benoît Saint Denis cuz it's in France just going to say I got Benoît Saint Denis because I slightly more I know Benoît Saint Denis's well Benoît Saint Denis but I get the over overall think Benoît Saint Denis is going to be the one”
Elijah House MMA picks Renato Moicano
“it's Renato Moicano because he's boring um he I mean I Renato Moicano I think it's going to be a super think he's going to rock Renato Moicano a couple them but um off skill I think Renato Moicano is well-rounded advantage to Renato Moicano as he can I'Nassourdine Imavov going Renato Moicano just off what we've seen downfall Renato Moicano will lose before he gets a little bad side and Benoît Saint Denis is Benoît Saint Denis has the ability to do that I give it to Benoît Saint Denis cuz it's in France just going to say I got Benoît Saint Denis because I slightly more I know Benoît Saint Denis's well Benoît Saint Denis but I get the over overall think Benoît Saint Denis is going to be the one”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I think I will be going with Benoît Saint Denis in this one however I think this fight is pretty much a 50/50 depending if Renato Moicano can weather a bit of a storm early on I think Ben moir could poten po get an early finish as well inside three rounds if he's able to keep a solid pace and deal enough damage to Renato Moicano if not I could definitely see Renato Moicano being able to control the pace more with his grappling in the later rounds of the fight and get a later rounds TKO submission win or win a close decision it really is a tough one but I think I favor benoir it's just because I believe he'll be the stronger and more pressure heavy fighter in this matchup I also think he is decent enough with his sprawls and grappling in general to get out of a few sticky positions he might find himself in on the ground or to just avoid some takedowns or trips of Renato Moicano when they're getting close during the clinch I can also see him working his elbows in close and doing some damage to hanato that way as well so like I said earlier benoir St Den is my pick for this fight”
Livid Larry MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I think I will be going with Benoît Saint Denis in this one however I think this fight is pretty much a 50/50 depending if Renato Moicano can weather a bit of a storm early on I think Ben moir could poten po get an early finish as well inside three rounds if he's able to keep a solid pace and deal enough damage to Renato Moicano if not I could definitely see Renato Moicano being able to control the pace more with his grappling in the later rounds of the fight and get a later rounds TKO submission win or win a close decision it really is a tough one but I think I favor benoir it's just because I believe he'll be the stronger and more pressure heavy fighter in this matchup I also think he is decent enough with his sprawls and grappling in general to get out of a few sticky positions he might find himself in on the ground or to just avoid some takedowns or trips of Renato Moicano when they're getting close during the clinch I can also see him working his elbows in close and doing some damage to hanato that way as well so like I said earlier benoir St Den is my pick for this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I'm on Renato Moicano bro I will ride with Renato Moicano”
MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I'm on Renato Moicano bro I will ride with Renato Moicano”
WP
We Want Picks picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE
“I think Nora can win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE
“I think Nora can win this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I'm going with Renato Moicano for the upset”
MMA EXPERTS picks Renato Moicano VALUE
“I'm going with Renato Moicano for the upset”
MA
MMA Attic picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE
“we do what the says here we go Benoît Saint Denisît Saint Denis”
MMA Attic picks Benoît Saint Denis VALUE
“we do what the says here we go Benoît Saint Denisît Saint Denis”
DC
Dodson's Corner picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go BSD I think he has strong wrestling he has good striking he can just find those wins”
$1.35
Dodson's Corner picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going to go BSD I think he has strong wrestling he has good striking he can just find those wins”
$1.35
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Renato Moicano
“give me Bolaji Okienoît Saint Den”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Renato Moicano
“give me Bolaji Okienoît Saint Den”
FI
FightOwl picks Renato Moicano
“I'm going Renato Moicano”
FightOwl picks Renato Moicano
“I'm going Renato Moicano”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Moicano20-7-1
W
Duncan
Apr '26
L
Dariush
Jun '25
L
Makhachev
Jan '25
W
Denis
Sep '24
W
Turner
Apr '24
Saint Denis16-3
W
Hooker
Feb '26
W
Dariush
Nov '25
W
Ruffy
Sep '25
W
Prepolec
May '25
L
Moicano
Sep '24