Choose a fight to analyse
RM
BD
Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
NI
BA
Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
WG
JB
Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
BB
KJ
Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight
MC
GM
Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight
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MF
Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
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Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
JD
Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
RR
Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TL
VM
Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
DZ
Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DB
VA
Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JC
NC
Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CD
BO
Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BD
Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
NI
BA
Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
WG
JB
Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
BB
KJ
Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight
MC
GM
Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight
FZ
MF
Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
IC
IE
Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
JD
Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
RR
Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TL
VM
Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
DZ
Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DB
VA
Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JC
NC
Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CD
BO
Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Duncan
over Oki · Lightweight
Our fair value$2.71
Betsson
pays above fair
$2.75
Best prices · Duncan
Caesars · US
$2.60
Virgin Bet · UK
$2.55
Betsson · EU
$2.75
SportsBet · AU
$2.56
Where to back Duncan
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.71
US
Caesars
$2.60
-4%
Caesars
$2.60
-4%
UK
Virgin Bet
$2.55
-6%
Virgin Bet
$2.55
-6%
EU
BET
Betsson
$2.75
+1%
AU
SportsBet
$2.56
-6%
SportsBet
$2.56
-6%
How it endsmethod calls · Duncan · crowd line
Submission
1
$13.57
Decision
4
$3.39
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Duncan 15-2
VS
10-4 Oki
5'10"
height
5'10"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
71"
reach
73"
33
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
4.9
46%
striking accuracy
58%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
48%
striking defence
64%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
37%
takedown accuracy
59%
33%
takedown defence
84%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 36%
Consensus7 of 18 analysts
Sharpest angleDuncan by Decision — 4 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Duncan @ $2.75 · fair $2.71
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Chris Duncan is what you call Ghana NOT_IN_ROSTER_83 go William Gomis”
The Rambling Dad picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Chris Duncan is what you call Ghana NOT_IN_ROSTER_83 go William Gomis”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Bolaji Oki
“I say go with Bolaji Oki he looked off... Bolaji Oki by decision lock it up”
The MMA-Holes picks Bolaji Oki
“I say go with Bolaji Oki he looked off... Bolaji Oki by decision lock it up”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I got Chris Duncan man Chris Duncan on the ground ground and pound should be able to dominate on the ground”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I got Chris Duncan man Chris Duncan on the ground ground and pound should be able to dominate on the ground”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bolaji Oki VALUE
“I feel pretty confident that Bolaji Oki is going to win”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Bolaji Oki VALUE
“I feel pretty confident that Bolaji Oki is going to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“so I'm going with the side of Chris Duncan to go out and get a win”
$2.60
MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“so I'm going with the side of Chris Duncan to go out and get a win”
$2.60
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Chris Duncan going down I'm going with Chris Duncan under three and a half in the main I think most likely it is under three and a half”
MMA EXPERTS picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“Chris Duncan going down I'm going with Chris Duncan under three and a half in the main I think most likely it is under three and a half”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I think Chris Duncan's going to win”
We Want Picks picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I think Chris Duncan's going to win”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I'm going to take the underdog here I'm gon to take a shot on Chris Duncan here um I think he's underrated...I'm going to take Chris Duncan by decision here so give me the underdog with the first fight of the night”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Chris Duncan VALUE
“I'm going to take the underdog here I'm gon to take a shot on Chris Duncan here um I think he's underrated...I'm going to take Chris Duncan by decision here so give me the underdog with the first fight of the night”
DR
DRYWALL picks Bolaji Oki
“I'Nassourdine Imavov riding Bolaji Oki here Bolaji Oki uh second round KO”
DRYWALL picks Bolaji Oki
“I'Nassourdine Imavov riding Bolaji Oki here Bolaji Oki uh second round KO”
FI
FightOwl picks Chris Duncan
“he'Benoît Saint Denis going to submit to be honest”
FightOwl picks Chris Duncan
“he'Benoît Saint Denis going to submit to be honest”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Bolaji Oki
“I'm William Gomising to be picking BAGI Oki to win this fight here by T I'll say TKO”
Leftlane MMA picks Bolaji Oki
“I'm William Gomising to be picking BAGI Oki to win this fight here by T I'll say TKO”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Duncan15-2
L
Moicano
Apr '26
W
McKinney
Dec '25
W
Rębecki
Aug '25
W
Vucenic
Mar '25
W
Oki
Sep '24
Oki10-4
L
Sousa
Mar '26
L
Jones
Sep '25
W
Aswell
May '25
L
Duncan
Sep '24
W
Cuamba
Feb '24