MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
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RM BD Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight NI BA Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight WG JB Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight BB KJ Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight MC GM Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight FZ MF Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight IC IE Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight OS JD Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight ĽK RR Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight TL VM Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AP DZ Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight DB VA Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight JC NC Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CD BO Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Gomis over Brito · Featherweight Our fair value$3.21 Bovada pays above fair $3.70
Where to back Gomis best price · region · EV vs fair $3.21
US Bovada $3.70 +15%
UK Betway $3.50 +9%
EU Pinnacle $3.58 +12%
AU Ladbrokes AU $3.60 +12%
Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Gomis 6
9 Brito
MUSLMT pick Gomis
How it endsmethod calls · Gomis · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $3.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gomis 15-3 VS 18-5-1 Brito
6'0" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 145 lb
73" reach 72"
29 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 3.0
47% striking accuracy 50%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
54% striking defence 44%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.1
57% takedown accuracy 68%
80% takedown defence 72%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 27%
Consensus6 of 15 analysts
Sharpest angleGomis by KO/TKO — 4 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Gomis @ $3.70 · fair $3.21 +15% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Joanderson Brito “I thought he won the fight pretty clearly”
TD The Rambling Dad picks William Gomis VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_83 picking William Gomis”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Joanderson Brito “I like to Joanderson Brito here I like to Joanderson Brito here pretty wide in this one as well yeah Joanderson Brito is a minus 305 ... I think Joanderson Brito goes through this guy ... just say Joanderson Brito”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joanderson Brito “my subscribers and I went with Anderson breu” $1.37
ME MMA EXPERTS picks William Gomis VALUE “I'm going with uh Yan”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Joanderson Brito “I'm gonna take Joanderson Brito here to get a finish... give me give me Joanderson Brito to win change I'm taking Joanderson Brito I'm taking”
MA MMA Attic picks William Gomis VALUE “the model odds showing it close but leaning towards burrito so we will be following the book and betting the favorite” $1.36
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks William Gomis VALUE “I'm going to side with the big Underdog and I've got I've got a few bets at the moment I think I've got two bets three bets and I might add this I might add this to the lineup at plus 250 yeah I'm going to side with William GES”
FI FightOwl picks Joanderson Brito “I've got Joanderson Brito”
LM Leftlane MMA picks William Gomis “I think he's William Gomising to get the W he beat [ __ ] what's his name um the soy English guy um Jack Shaw”
SD Santino DeFranco picks William Gomis VALUE “I like him William Gomis is a third of think it up he's the guy yeah Gomez is touch and run”
HB Half The Battle picks William Gomis “I think burrito is gonna come out here and Bully William gomi” $1.36
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gomis15-3
L Sabatini Decision · R3 May '26
W Ruchała Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Amil Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Brito Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Ghemmouri KO/TKO · R3 Sep '23
Brito18-5-1
W Leavitt Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Thomson Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Sabatini Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Gomis Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Shore KO/TKO · R2 May '24