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Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
NI
BA
Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
WG
JB
Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
BB
KJ
Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight
MC
GM
Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight
FZ
MF
Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight
IC
IE
Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
JD
Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
ĽK
RR
Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
TL
VM
Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AP
DZ
Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
DB
VA
Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
JC
NC
Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
CD
BO
Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Erslan
over Cuțelaba · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.78
pays above fair
$1.92
Best prices · Erslan
BetRivers · US
$1.88
Betway · UK
$1.91
NordicBet · EU
$1.92
PlayUp · AU
$1.90
Where to back Erslan
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.78
US
BetRivers
$1.88
+6%
BetRivers
$1.88
+6%
UK
Betway
$1.91
+8%
Betway
$1.91
+8%
EU
NordicBet
$1.92
+8%
NordicBet
$1.92
+8%
AU
PlayUp
$1.90
+7%
PlayUp
$1.90
+7%
How it endsmethod calls · Erslan · crowd line
KO/TKO
7
$1.78
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Cuțelaba 18-10-1
VS
14-6 Erslan
—
height
6'2"
—
weight
206 lb
—
reach
72"
32
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.3
strikes landed / min
3.8
43%
striking accuracy
53%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
46%
striking defence
71%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
52%
takedown accuracy
33%
75%
takedown defence
80%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 52%
Consensus10 of 15 analysts
Sharpest angleErslan by KO/TKO — 7 of 7 method calls
Recommendation
Back Erslan @ $1.92 · fair $1.78
+8% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Ion Cuțelaba
“I picked uron in this fight because I just didn't trust calaba who lost to Kennedy and Juku”
Leftlane MMA picks Ion Cuțelaba
“I picked uron in this fight because I just didn't trust calaba who lost to Kennedy and Juku”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“we got Ivan Erslan here William Gomis go right here”
The Rambling Dad picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“we got Ivan Erslan here William Gomis go right here”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Ivan Erslan
“I'm picking Ivan Erslan okay Ivan Erslan knockout”
The MMA-Holes picks Ivan Erslan
“I'm picking Ivan Erslan okay Ivan Erslan knockout”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ion Cuțelaba
“I'm gonna go with Ion Cuțelaba just for he's uh actually he”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ion Cuțelaba
“I'm gonna go with Ion Cuțelaba just for he's uh actually he”
CO
Covers picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I think uh Ivan Erslan with his tight boxing is going to be able to take him out here”
$2.00
Covers picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I think uh Ivan Erslan with his tight boxing is going to be able to take him out here”
$2.00
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“ION calaba the Hulk because he is a high confidence pick for me he has the UFC experience he is the better fighter won one fight out of his last five but Ivan Erslan outside of the UFC won three fights out of his last five he's been win loss win loss win due for the loss here I don't know how he got knocked out 11 months ago to a 16 and five opponent and he lost the decision to a 16 and five opponent less than two years ago and he's making it to the UFC no Contender series needed it seems like a setup fight for ion couta laa”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“ION calaba the Hulk because he is a high confidence pick for me he has the UFC experience he is the better fighter won one fight out of his last five but Ivan Erslan outside of the UFC won three fights out of his last five he's been win loss win loss win due for the loss here I don't know how he got knocked out 11 months ago to a 16 and five opponent and he lost the decision to a 16 and five opponent less than two years ago and he's making it to the UFC no Contender series needed it seems like a setup fight for ion couta laa”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE
“I think Yan calaba can certainly win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Ion Cuțelaba VALUE
“I think Yan calaba can certainly win this fight”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Ivan Erslan
“I'm gonna pick Ivan Erslan and just to win so but right now give me Ivan Erslan to Ivan Erslan”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Ivan Erslan
“I'm gonna pick Ivan Erslan and just to win so but right now give me Ivan Erslan to Ivan Erslan”
MA
MMA Attic picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“the model is stronger giving Ivan Erslan the edge at a minus 123”
$1.81
MMA Attic picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“the model is stronger giving Ivan Erslan the edge at a minus 123”
$1.81
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I'm William Gomising to back uran even if he's [ __ ] with no technique and all power”
Leftlane MMA picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I'm William Gomising to back uran even if he's [ __ ] with no technique and all power”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I think calaba could Rock him take him down and just ground and pound him um and I I like kilaba here”
Santino DeFranco picks Ivan Erslan VALUE
“I think calaba could Rock him take him down and just ground and pound him um and I I like kilaba here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Cuțelaba18-10-1
L
Stirling
Jun '26
W
Sy
Mar '26
L
Bukauskas
May '25
W
Aslan
Feb '25
W
Erslan
Sep '24
Erslan14-6
W
Tokkos
May '26
L
Crute
Sep '25
L
Stirling
May '25
L
Cuțelaba
Sep '24