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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
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RM BD Moicano vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight NI BA Imavov vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight WG JB Gomis vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight BB KJ Battle vs JoussetMain Card · Welterweight MC GM Charrière vs MirandaMain Card · Featherweight FZ MF Ziam vs FrevolaMain Card · Lightweight IC IE Cuțelaba vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight OS JD Sy vs Da-woonPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight ĽK RR Klein vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Lightweight TL VM Lapilus vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AP DZ Pérez vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Catchweight DB VA Bárez vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight JC NC Cavalcanti vs CornollePreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CD BO Duncan vs OkiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Allen over Imavov · Middleweight Our fair value$2.58 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.82
Where to back Allen best price · region · EV vs fair $2.58
US DraftKings $2.80 +9%
UK Betway $2.75 +7%
EU Pinnacle $2.82 +9%
AU Betr (AU) $2.70 +5%
Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Imavov 11
10 Allen
MMULCP pick Imavov
How it endsmethod calls · Allen · crowd line
Submission 3 $3.44
Decision 1 $10.31
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Imavov 17-4 VS 26-7 Allen
6'3" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 186 lb
75" reach 75"
30 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 5.9
57% striking accuracy 36%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
54% striking defence 53%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
64% takedown accuracy 62%
89% takedown defence 53%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 35%
Consensus10 of 21 analysts
Sharpest angleAllen by Submission — 3 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Allen @ $2.82 · fair $2.58 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LM Leftlane MMA picks Brendan Allen “I picked him up of obviously”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Brendan Allen VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_83 going to be going with Brendan Allen”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Brendan Allen “I'm going to go Brendan Allen decision one all right I got Brendan Allen decision”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Brendan Allen “that's why I'm taking Brendan Allen him that's why I'm taking Brendan Allen over nardine ovov in this opinion so I think he's just a step above I love Brendan Allen I love Brendan Allen I love Brendan Allen I love watching him fight I like that he got on Roman does so I mean Brendan Allen dude he's does so I mean Brendan Allen dude he's does so I mean Brendan Allen dude he's not no no pushover and it's ballsy because he's actual Underdog but I'm fading him I'm fading Brendan Allen I'm fading him I'm fading Brendan Allen I'm fading him I'm fading Brendan Allen I'm not picking him on no lineups no nothing”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Nassourdine Imavov “official pick here is Nassourdine Imavov”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Nassourdine Imavov “my subscribers and I went with um nasini mov” $1.42
EM Elijah House MMA picks Brendan Allen “I'Nassourdine Imavov going to Brendan Allen”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Brendan Allen “I have decided to go with nasaden a mov to get this one done if you ask me who the better Striker is of the two I'd tell you fairly easily that amov is the more fluid light on his toes skilled striker of the two I could also see a mavv winning this by decision especially since this is a three rounder”
PR Premium-Picks picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “give me imov”
WP We Want Picks picks Nassourdine Imavov “I think Nas denov wins”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Nassourdine Imavov VALUE “I think Nassourdine Imavov is gonna be good in this fight yo what's up Dylan Summers I'm doing great I'm feeling a lot better man yesterday I had such a cold today I feel about 95% to normal bro so thankful my I'm telling you what I did bro I took those Airborne pills like they were going out of style I was uh sweating every day doing a workout still and going for a nice cardio session after just sweating everything out and I feel a thousand times better now bro I'm hyped to see alberg back too the ODS deir fight is really interesting because oir can crack on the feet and if he eats a good one from alberg and fires back let's see how alberg responds loner Kavanagh in the featured B [ __ ] why would loner Kavanagh be in the featured fight who who loner kavanau fighting you got Benoît Saint Denis Easy Money damn Molina I know you're riding with him I saw shaan versus Richie's okay it's not my favorite fight though I don't know I think shaan could beat her uh yeah money line Monday every week now we did money line on Monday night this week me and the finch man went after it m conell militia him fighting Jose the same year Ben W went pro is insane experience Alone says bet on moyano my username is no favoritism Renato Moicano militia is a Savage Big W to moyano militia let's go you think Benoît Saint Denis knocks out Renato Moicano like Turner should have the thing is I don't think Benoît Saint Denis has as good hands as everybody's hyping him up to have like he swings some wild ass shots I'm sure it can land with power if it hits the chin but he's not as clean with it as jayen Turner on the feet if Joon Jon if Jon Jones and ask asol fight I favor Aspen but I don't think Jon Jones is completely out of it Savage con is a Savage look at this guy thanks man I'm glad I'm feeling better too I was feeling like ass you guys want a poll Benoît Saint Denis or Renato Moicano let's throw this poll up and make sure you guys run the likes up we're almost at 30 likes man let's get 30 up in here let's get the big three Z Renato Moicano or Benoît Saint Denis who wins let's see what the people say let's see what the people say Nassourdine Imavov is a sniper bro Striker only to be honest Allen sub all day lock it for your pocket psycho you got a Savage call you're getting big money in that one I'll tell you this if Allen gets his back I would be nervous if I'm on Nassourdine Imavov I'm not confident enough to bet Nassourdine Imavov at two to one the Allen submission play is honestly a good bet if you're just looking to throw some money at something I honestly think uh Brendan Allen by sub could happen like for me I I think of the fight like this most of the time they fight majority and mol wins a decision the second result I see is Brendan Allen subitum I don't think amov knocking him out is as likely as Allen winning by submission so maybe you're going Brendan Allen by sub or you going Allen no distance which isn't crazy cuz am M if you win like it's probably going to the cards and at least you know gives you a chance to get the money back worst case Allen no distance is plus 200 bro Brendan Allen no distance is lowkey interesting now if Allen goes out and wins a decision you'll be pissed off but still it saves you from him losing the decision healthy AJ's the best useless I'm feeling good bro the physique is coming together okay the body fat is going down I've been doing this cardio every single day I feel quick we hit 100 likes tonight I'm Shadow Boxing for sure so make sure you guys run those likes up because I want to let the hands go I'll tell you this too man I think when I hit 50k subs or maybe even 40K I gotta get a little punching bag in here to add into the stream bro I don't know let me know in chat if you guys like that idea I like Chris Chris Duncan as a dog too Molina hey let's go David Nettles my guy I appreciate you for the love and the predictions D we're we're we're lucky up in here I'm glad I feel real good I'm glad bro you look sharp clean your energyy is amazing thank you useless W idea [ __ ] yeah speed bag action that'd be sick it'll be dope I'm hype as hell man I think moyano and Benoît Saint Denis is a close fight the odds M's got it way too wide facts lute they're selling that fight as a squash match but I'm just telling you look at bsd's resume just look at his resume Matt Matt Frevola Thiago Moises Ismael bone Gabriel Miranda Nicholas stce those are his wins does that warrant a minus 275 against money moyano who's got a win over Jaylen Turner Drew Dober Brad Rell I mean let's be real here compare the resumes what's more impressive beating Matt Frevolarevola and Thiago Moises or beating Jaylen Turner and Drew Dober Renato Moicano's got the better resume bro Dylan Summers thank you for the five bucks let's get the Dono train rolling love to see the donos up in here Dylan Summers I appreciate you let's [ __ ] go is right my man thank you for the five bucks buddy I appreciate the hell out of you brother let's go let's freaking go get a reflex bag bro imagine I put up like a double end bag in here that'd be pretty sick Benoît Saint Denis manager awesome getting them in this insane layup stop it's not a layup it's a doog fight what do you think about Matt Frevola fight over and Chris Duncan fights over I'm picking both of them to probably go decision but I'll tell you I could see Matt Frevola locking a sub up I have to put a picture of your least favorite fighter on it that's a good idea man holy [ __ ] how do you get your bicep to have that Peak uh work out you like for it I would would say like the one arm spider curl is pretty good you so you have you know how like there's a preacher bench that goes slanted useless I'll bring this up so we can get this question answered and it doesn't have a seat this has got to be a standing one you go on the other side of it so you're just going like straight down so it's in your armpit and I would say use an easy bar or a straight bar and do like four sets of it and do like maybe two of them like six to eight reps and then two of them like 10 to 12 and I was say you'll probably start noticing better biceps bro my [ __ ] started to grow but I also have a brother who has like the craziest bicep genetics you've ever seen the dude's bicep just goes like this so I always felt like my biceps were a weak point but I appreciate you hyping me up useless let's go”
MA MMA Attic picks Brendan Allen VALUE “the model on the other hand sees this as a closer fight but gives the edge to Brendan Brendan Allen Brendan Allen so we are taking the underdog” $2.85
Recent form last five, most recent first
Imavov17-4
W Borralho Decision · R5 Sep '25
W Adesanya KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Cannonier KO/TKO · R4 Jun '24
W Dolidze Decision · R5 Feb '24
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24