MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
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SB GB Brady vs BurnsFight Card · Welterweight NS JA Silva vs AndradeFight Card · Women'S Flyweight SG KN Garcia vs NelsonFight Card · Catchweight CD MS Durden vs SchnellFight Card · Bantamweight YA TP Ashmouz vs PeekFight Card · Lightweight CP RZ Padilla vs ZhuPreliminary Card · Lightweight ID BM Dulgarian vs MarottePreliminary Card · Featherweight AL FS Lima vs SantosPreliminary Card · Flyweight GS YZ Santos vs ZhaPreliminary Card · Featherweight JA VD Amorim vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AP DB Petroski vs BudkaPreliminary Card · Catchweight NF ŽR Fletcher vs RamaškaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Durden over Schnell · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.70 NordicBet pays above fair $2.60
Where to back Durden best price · region · EV vs fair $1.70
US Bovada $2.05 +21%
UK Paddy Power $2.00 +18%
EU NordicBet $2.60 +53%
AU Unibet $1.82 +7%
Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Durden 6
4 Schnell
MSLPHW pick Durden
How it endsmethod calls · Durden · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $5.10
Decision 1 $5.10
None 1 $5.10
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1 VS 17-10 Schnell
5'7" height 5'8"
125 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 70"
35 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.4
50% striking accuracy 39%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
50% striking defence 55%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
50% takedown accuracy 40%
73% takedown defence 50%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 38%
Consensus6 of 10 analysts
Sharpest angleDurden by KO/TKO — 1 of 3 method calls
Recommendation Back Durden @ $2.60 · fair $1.70 +53% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Matt Schnell “I'm gonna take Matt Schnell on this one too”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden “I'm going with Cody Durden I think he can out wrestle match now”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Durden “I think Cody Durden Jordan wins”
CO Covers picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I'm looking at Matt Schnell as a big-time Underdog here plus 255 against Cody Durden” $3.55
PR Premium-Picks picks Cody Durden “I think he will finish Matt Schnell”
HB Half The Battle picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm going Cody Durden Cody Durden Durden” $1.32
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I am going to side with Gilbert durinho Burns”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Cody Durden “I'm going to be picking Cody Durden”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm going to pick deran” $1.33
SD Santino DeFranco picks Cody Durden VALUE “deran Duran has looked amazing Yi Zhaah even in the Bruno fight I know we picked Bruno and we know Bruno like Bruno he got away with one there he lost every second of that fight until he won it and even on the feet how many times did he hurt Bruno Yi Zhaah”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Matt Schnell “NOT_IN_ROSTER_69 NOT_IN_ROSTER_70 wins this fight as a minus 1,000 Underdog”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W Filho Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Nascimento Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ochoa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Van Decision · R3 Dec '24
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24