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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Zhu v Padilla Lightweight Our fair value $1.97 best price — PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Zhu best price · region · EV vs fair $1.97
No regional prices quoted for this fight yet.
Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Padilla 6
6 Zhu
MUCWDO pick Padilla
How it endsmethod calls · Zhu · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $7.89
Decision 3 $2.63
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Padilla 0-0 VS 1-2 Zhu
5'9" height 6'6"
155 lb weight 133 lb
74" reach 68"
30 age —
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.2
61% striking accuracy 52%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
46% striking defence 67%
3.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
75% takedown accuracy 68%
0% takedown defence 81%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.1
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Consensus6 of 12 analysts
Sharpest angleZhu by Decision — 3 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Chris Padilla “I'm taking Chris Padilla because plus 200 by submission”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Rong Zhu “I'm gonna go with Wrong zooo by the way”
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Padilla VALUE “Chris Padilla Chris Padilla Padilla is the pick”
PR Premium-Picks picks Rong Zhu “I'm on Rong Zhu”
HB Half The Battle picks Rong Zhu VALUE “I'm going Rong Rong Zhu zooo here” $1.40
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Padilla VALUE “I think Chris Padilla is going to come forward and win this fight he looks spectacular in his UFC debut finishing a very tough guy”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Chris Padilla VALUE “give me the underdog give me Chris P”
WP We Want Picks picks Chris Padilla VALUE “the lock of the week this week to probably a lot of people surprise is going to be Chris Padilla” $3.45
LM Leftlane MMA picks Rong Zhu “I'll pick Wrong by TKO”
DR DRYWALL picks Rong Zhu VALUE “Rong Zhu wins this is my note here she just wins um I just know that Jacqueline Emer I'm not gonna lie...”
DR DRYWALL picks Chris Padilla VALUE “Chris Padilla here I'm gonna make it simple I've watched Rong Zhu fight ... I like Chris Padilla here”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Chris Padilla VALUE “I went with Chris Padilla”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Padilla0-0
W Bonfim KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Herbert Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Zhu KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
W Llontop Submission · R1 Apr '24
Zhu1-2
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Steele Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Padilla KO/TKO · R2 Sep '24
L Bahamondes Submission · R3 Feb '22
W Jenkins KO/TKO · R3 Sep '21