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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
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BEST PRICE We back Lima over dos Santos · Flyweight Our fair value$1.51 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.64
Where to back Lima best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US BetOnline.ag $1.62 +7%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.60 +6%
EU Pinnacle $1.64 +9%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.62 +7%
Consensus17 picks · conf 39/99
Lima 13
4 dos Santos
JMMSBL pick Lima
How it endsmethod calls · Lima · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $7.54
Decision 4 $1.89
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lima 11-0 VS 8-2 dos Santos
5'7" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 70"
27 age 25
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.9
55% striking accuracy 37%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
57% striking defence 41%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
66% takedown accuracy 0%
73% takedown defence 14%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 61%
Consensus13 of 17 analysts
Sharpest angleLima by Decision — 4 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Back Lima @ $1.64 · fair $1.51 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks André Lima “André Lima by decision is my plus 115 prop bet”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Felipe dos Santos “I'm taking the dog Felipe dos Gabriel Santos because I literally would put money on him”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks André Lima “I'm going with André Lima I think he can beat Felipe dos Santos”
WP We Want Picks picks Felipe dos Santos “I do think Felipe dos Santos wins pickwise”
WP We Want Picks picks André Lima “I think André André Lima Petroski wins this fight”
CO Covers picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE “I'm looking towards the underdog here uh do Santos is plus 155” $2.55
PR Premium-Picks picks André Lima “I am going to pick Lima”
HB Half The Battle picks André Lima VALUE “I'm gonna go André Lima here” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks André Lima VALUE “I just think that Andre Li is going to be way too much for Felipe”
WP We Want Picks picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE “I think Felipe wins this fight” $2.55
LM Leftlane MMA picks André Lima “I'll be picking André Lima here I think he's a bit bigger and I think he's a bit more technical as well”
SD Santino DeFranco picks André Lima VALUE “I like lima I think in this spot I'm with you 100% um Lima is so calm he does so much stuff well but honestly he has really good trips”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lima11-0
L Borjas Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Barez Submission · R3 Mar '25
W Santos Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Severino DQ · R2 Mar '24
dos Santos8-2
L Kavanagh Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Lima Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Altamirano Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Kape Decision · R3 Sep '23