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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Krylov v Spann
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Krylov 30-11
VS
23-11 Spann
6'3"
height
6'5"
205 lb
weight
252 lb
78"
reach
79"
34
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
3.3
55%
striking accuracy
40%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
44%
striking defence
43%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
38%
takedown accuracy
35%
53%
takedown defence
50%
1.4
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Nikita Krylov
“Nikita Krylov knows how to win that's one”
The MMA-Holes picks Nikita Krylov
“Nikita Krylov knows how to win that's one”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 in this fight I like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by first round submission”
Cappers Direct picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 in this fight I like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by first round submission”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“I can see Nikita Krylov has volume and I think he has the ability to go into rounds two around three and really put together a good solid game plan to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 so I can see why he's favored”
Cappers Direct picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“I can see Nikita Krylov has volume and I think he has the ability to go into rounds two around three and really put together a good solid game plan to to beat NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 so I can see why he's favored”
KU
Kunath picks Nikita Krylov
“you probably need some of him and some Nikita Krylov if you're running multiple lineups”
Kunath picks Nikita Krylov
“you probably need some of him and some Nikita Krylov if you're running multiple lineups”
KU
Kunath picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think that Ryan Spann is one of the better value plays on the Slate”
Kunath picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think that Ryan Spann is one of the better value plays on the Slate”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“crit oven Ryan Spann the rematch... Ryan Spann minus 146 I probably go for him in there”
$1.68
Sherdog.com picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“crit oven Ryan Spann the rematch... Ryan Spann minus 146 I probably go for him in there”
$1.68
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think Ryan Spann wins this fight it's in the first round”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“I think Ryan Spann wins this fight it's in the first round”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“Nikita Krylov has put this number on the board every single fight even fights that he's won inside the distance or lost inside the distance he's gonna come out throw wrestle and then hammer down on top for significant strikes there I think you'll get past the 24 and a half”
We Want Picks picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“Nikita Krylov has put this number on the board every single fight even fights that he's won inside the distance or lost inside the distance he's gonna come out throw wrestle and then hammer down on top for significant strikes there I think you'll get past the 24 and a half”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“my picks gonna be saying the mother made of to compete on the feet with Jordan from Martinez and if you want to take the fight to the mat I think he can do that so that's why I'm gonna side with Sade namoga made of”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ryan Spann VALUE
“my picks gonna be saying the mother made of to compete on the feet with Jordan from Martinez and if you want to take the fight to the mat I think he can do that so that's why I'm gonna side with Sade namoga made of”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Nikita Krylov
“I'm gonna go right back to the well with uh with krylov”
Santino DeFranco picks Nikita Krylov
“I'm gonna go right back to the well with uh with krylov”
1M
138 MMA picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“I'm gonna take me through the cryov”
138 MMA picks Nikita Krylov VALUE
“I'm gonna take me through the cryov”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Krylov30-11
W
Bukauskas
Jan '26
L
Guskov
Jul '25
L
Reyes
Apr '25
W
Spann
Mar '23
W
Oezdemir
Oct '22
Spann23-11
W
Buchecha
Apr '26
W
Brzeski
Jul '25
L
Cortes-Acosta
Mar '25
W
Preux
Oct '24
L
Guskov
Apr '24