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UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Williams v Brzeski Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Williams 10
3 Brzeski
1GUSAC pick Williams
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Williams 10-2 VS 9-5-1 Brzeski
— height 6'3"
— weight 242 lb
— reach 78"
36 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.7 strikes landed / min 4.9
48% striking accuracy 50%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
55% striking defence 54%
4.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
48% takedown accuracy 50%
100% takedown defence 36%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Karl Williams “Karl Williams by decision man”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Karl Williams VALUE “I actually like him a lot this week from a DraftKings perspective uh sing at 9 000 going against Łukasz Brzeski what I like about Karl Williams is the wrestling” $91.00
BM Bedtime MMA picks Łukasz Brzeski “I'm gonna go with uh Łukasz Brzeski here”
WP We Want Picks picks Łukasz Brzeski VALUE “I like Łukasz Brzeski to win this fight” $73.00
HB Half The Battle picks Łukasz Brzeski “I'm gonna go with Karl Williams here” $3.00
HB Half The Battle picks Karl Williams VALUE “I'm gonna go with Karl Williams here uh probably unanimous decision” $1.43
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Karl Williams VALUE “so yeah I'm gonna side with the newcomer Karl Williams to win this match up guys”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Karl Williams “I'm taking Karl Williams for sure” $2.50
SD Santino DeFranco picks Karl Williams “give me some Karl Williams I really like this spot”
1M 138 MMA picks Karl Williams VALUE “Karl Williams coming in like a hammer”
CL Clenbat picks Karl Williams “I'm gonna go Karl Williams in this one”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Karl Williams VALUE “I'm feeling Karl Williams here” $1.71
Recent form last five, most recent first
Williams10-2
L Diniz Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Tafa Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Sherman Decision · R3 May '23
W Brzeski Decision · R3 Mar '23
Brzeski9-5-1
L Spann Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Nzechukwu KO/TKO · R1 Dec '24
L Parkin KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Walker Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23