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Martinez vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Fremd v Dumas
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Fremd 11-6
VS
10-4 Dumas
6'4"
height
6'2"
186 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
79"
32
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.5
strikes landed / min
2.1
44%
striking accuracy
48%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
47%
striking defence
58%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
25%
takedown accuracy
35%
30%
takedown defence
40%
1.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I'm flipping the pick guys I have to go on this one... I think the Josh Froome sub if you're gonna touch the money line I wouldn't blame you man”
$2.80
MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I'm flipping the pick guys I have to go on this one... I think the Josh Froome sub if you're gonna touch the money line I wouldn't blame you man”
$2.80
KU
Kunath picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I like the leverage I like the finishing upside and I think that all builds serious value into Josh frem's price”
Kunath picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I like the leverage I like the finishing upside and I think that all builds serious value into Josh frem's price”
KU
Kunath picks Sedriques Dumas
“Sedriques Dumas has a lot of hype around him”
Kunath picks Sedriques Dumas
“Sedriques Dumas has a lot of hype around him”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm picking Sedriques Sedriques Dumas to win this fight”
$1.54
MMA EXPERTS picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm picking Sedriques Sedriques Dumas to win this fight”
$1.54
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I do lean Dumas in this match”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I do lean Dumas in this match”
HB
Half The Battle picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I'm considering that one unit shot at plus 180 here”
$2.80
Half The Battle picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“I'm considering that one unit shot at plus 180 here”
$2.80
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm picking Dumas to win his UFC debut I like his kicking Advantage I think if Josh Fremd attempts to Grapple he could get choked out... so yeah the pick is going to be Dumas to win this match up”
$1.65
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm picking Dumas to win his UFC debut I like his kicking Advantage I think if Josh Fremd attempts to Grapple he could get choked out... so yeah the pick is going to be Dumas to win this match up”
$1.65
KU
Kunath picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“give me the underdog and Josh friend this week”
Kunath picks Josh Fremd VALUE
“give me the underdog and Josh friend this week”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I think cedrics wins I have a bet on him I got him at minus 130”
$1.77
We Want Picks picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I think cedrics wins I have a bet on him I got him at minus 130”
$1.77
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Sedriques Dumas
“I'm gonna go Dumas here I I don't think uh this is the the time for Josh Fremd”
Santino DeFranco picks Sedriques Dumas
“I'm gonna go Dumas here I I don't think uh this is the the time for Josh Fremd”
1M
138 MMA picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm gonna take Sedriques Dumas here”
138 MMA picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“I'm gonna take Sedriques Dumas here”
CL
Clenbat picks Josh Fremd
“I'm almost going with Josh Fremd”
Clenbat picks Josh Fremd
“I'm almost going with Josh Fremd”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Fremd11-6
L
Petroski
Jul '24
L
Kopylov
Sep '23
W
Pickett
Aug '23
W
Dumas
Mar '23
L
Gore
Oct '22
Dumas10-4
L
McVey
Apr '26
L
Johnson
Nov '25
L
Oleksiejczuk
Apr '25
W
Tiuliulin
Aug '24
L
Ruziboev
Mar '24