MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
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MD PY Dvalishvili vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight AV AR Volkov vs RomanovMain Card · Heavyweight NK RS Krylov vs SpannMain Card · Catchweight JM SN Martinez vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Bantamweight MB GC Bautista vs CannettiMain Card · Bantamweight VP AT Petrino vs TurkaljMain Card · Light Heavyweight KW ŁB Williams vs BrzeskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight DG RA Grant vs AssunçãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JF SD Fremd vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight VH TG Henry vs GravelyPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AL JA Lipski vs AldrichPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight BS TN Silva vs NamPreliminary Card · Flyweight CH JG Harris vs GoodenPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Grant v Assunção Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Grant 6
3 Assunção
1MGSAC pick Grant
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Grant 17-8 VS 28-10 Assunção
5'8" height —
136 lb weight —
69" reach —
40 age 43
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 3.2
37% striking accuracy 42%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
74% striking defence 66%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
52% takedown accuracy 39%
81% takedown defence 78%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Davey Grant “I'm picking uh Davey Grant to win this thing... I'm going Davey Grant slightly Grant to win by a decision” $1.76
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Davey Grant VALUE “I think he finishes uh the 40 year old Raphael Assunção here”
WP We Want Picks picks Davey Grant “I think Davey Grant wins” $86.00
HB Half The Battle picks Raphael Assunção VALUE “I'm gonna go with Raphael Assunção to get this one done man” $2.15
WP We Want Picks picks Davey Grant VALUE “I think Davey Davey Grant Davey Grant is going to win”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Davey Grant “for this one I'm gonna go Davey Grant”
1M 138 MMA picks Davey Grant “I'm gonna lean Davey Grant”
CL Clenbat picks Davey Grant “I'm gonna lean towards the sun cell”
GP Greedo Plays picks Davey Grant “I'm going to take David Grant to win this tonight by TKO in the second round”
WP We Want Picks picks Raphael Assunção VALUE “I'm convincing myself to now go bet on Davey Grant because I do think he's going to win this fight and minus 160 it's not going to be there for much longer.” $1.62
AM Artem MMA picks Davey Grant “I've got David Grant to win this match up maybe by a late finish I don't think he's going to like knock out Raphael Assunção but I think it's going to be like an accumulation of damage that either gets Davey Grant a decision or like a late maybe third round finish” $1.62
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raphael Assunção VALUE “Raphael Assunção 7400 um yeah I don't mind some shots and Elvis here because Alva's like Ryan Spann if Alves wins this fight it's gonna be in the first round um Alvis has has very poor cardio but what he does have is he's extremely explosive he has a really good submission game just a ton of power on the feed” $75.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Grant17-8
W Martinetti Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Jourdain Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Blackshear Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Taveras Decision · R3 Dec '24
L Marcos Decision · R3 Jul '23
Assunção28-10
L Grant Submission · R3 Mar '23
W Henry Decision · R3 Oct '22
L Simón KO/TKO · R2 Dec '21
L Garbrandt KO/TKO · R2 Jun '20
L Sandhagen Decision · R3 Aug '19