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UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bautista v Cannetti Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Bautista 7
0 Cannetti
1MGCDW pick Bautista
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bautista 16-3 VS 10-8 Cannetti
5'9" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 135 lb
69" reach 68"
33 age 46
Switch stance Southpaw
5.3 strikes landed / min 3.4
47% striking accuracy 55%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.8
54% striking defence 51%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
33% takedown accuracy 55%
66% takedown defence 64%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Mario Bautista “I'm gonna pick Mario Bautista I'm gonna pick Mario Bautista to buy uh I'll thousand”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mario Bautista VALUE “I'm picking Mario Bautista to win he should [ __ ] Widow kinetti up I think ground and pound I think submission” $1.11
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mario Bautista “Batista should get it done but 9700 is a pretty steep price tag this week” $1.18
WP We Want Picks picks Mario Bautista VALUE “Mario Batista should absolutely get it done and should get it done inside the distance”
WP We Want Picks picks Mario Bautista VALUE “Mario Bautista Batista is absolutely the pick” $1.11
1M 138 MMA picks Mario Bautista “I'm gonna take Mario Bautista”
CL Clenbat picks Mario Bautista “Mario Bautista is going to win this fight”
GP Greedo Plays picks Mario Bautista “Mario Bautista goes in there gets the double takes the back Mario Bautista likely wins this one by first generation finish” $1.11
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bautista16-3
W Oliveira Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Mix Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Aldo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Simón Decision · R3 Jan '24
Cannetti10-8
L Bautista Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Costa Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Moutinho KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L Martinez Decision · R3 Aug '21
L Batgerel KO/TKO · R1 Mar '20