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UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Madsen v Pichel Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Madsen 8
4 Pichel
HUADKW pick Madsen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Madsen 12-2 VS 14-4 Pichel
— height 5'10"
— weight 156 lb
— reach 72"
41 age 43
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.6 strikes landed / min 3.6
49% striking accuracy 46%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
52% striking defence 55%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
66% takedown accuracy 54%
62% takedown defence 25%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Vinc Pichel “i'm going to go with vince pacquel via decision again i reckon i'm going to go Vinc Pichel by decision here”
WP We Want Picks picks Mark Madsen VALUE “i think mark madsen wins this fight”
KU Kunath picks Mark Madsen VALUE “give me Mark Madsen this week”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Vinc Pichel “Mark Madsen vs Vinc Pichel”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mark Madsen VALUE “i am leaning the Mark Madsen dog side” $2.05
HB Half The Battle picks Mark Madsen VALUE “i'm gonna go with jerezinho and strook” $1.67
SH Sherdog.com picks Vinc Pichel “he's fighting Vinc Pichel this uh this saturday night uh on the undercard”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mark Madsen VALUE “give me Mark Madsen Mark Madsen here as a core play probably going to be my highest known dog”
CM Cyclone MMA picks Mark Madsen “i'm gonna go with Mark Madsen via decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Mark Madsen VALUE “three lock of the week this week k hanson Mark Madsen and my man mickey gall”
WP We Want Picks picks Mark Madsen VALUE “Mark Madsen is the pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mark Madsen VALUE “i'm leaning the mats inside by decision but i really don't love this pick by any means man”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Madsen12-2
L Gordon KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
L Dawson Submission · R3 Nov '22
W Pichel Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Guida Decision · R3 Aug '21
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Mar '20
Pichel14-4
L García Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Bonfim Decision · R3 May '24
L Madsen Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Aug '21
W Miller Decision · R3 Aug '20