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UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Machado Garry v Weeks Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Machado Garry 7
2 Weeks
HKTUWW pick Machado Garry
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0 VS 5-3 Weeks
6'3" height —
171 lb weight —
74" reach —
28 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 4.5
55% striking accuracy 51%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
52% striking defence 51%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
55% takedown accuracy 30%
69% takedown defence 100%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG THE MMA GURU picks Ian Machado Garry “i'm gonna go with Ian Machado Garry by decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Darian Weeks VALUE “i like Darian Weeks for the upset” $4.10
WP We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry “i think Ian Machado Garry wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Darian Weeks VALUE “Darian Weeks will he get two takedowns versus Ian Machado Garry i think he does”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Darian Weeks VALUE “i'm going dairy on weeks for the upset man” $4.00
HB Half The Battle picks Ian Machado Garry “i think he and gary's should take this fight” $1.29
HB Half The Battle picks Darian Weeks “i'm on raquel pennington here” $1.59
SH Sherdog.com picks Darian Weeks “no ingar is fighting darrian weeks here and um if you have watched i went back and watched Darian Weeks's fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry “i picked Ian Machado Garry when i broke it down last week” $1.25
WP We Want Picks picks Darian Weeks VALUE “i guess i'm changing my pick to Darian Weeks” $5.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Darian Weeks VALUE “i think Darian Weeks gets a late stoppage in this fight around the third round man”
WP We Want Picks picks Darian Weeks VALUE “i think marcin taiboro wins this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W Muhammad Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Prates Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Rakhmonov Decision · R5 Dec '24
W Page Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Neal Decision · R3 Feb '24
Weeks5-3
L Lainesse Decision · R3 Sep '22
L Garry Decision · R3 Apr '22
L Barberena Decision · R3 Dec '21