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Sterling vs YanMain Card · Bantamweight
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Chimaev vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
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Dern vs TorresMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Madsen vs PichelMain Card · Lightweight
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Garry vs WeeksPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hernandez vs FremdPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Pennington vs LaddPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Malott vs GallPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Oleinik vs VanderaaEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Rodríguez vs HansenEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Arce vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Weeks
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
5-3 Weeks
6'3"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
74"
reach
—
28
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.5
55%
striking accuracy
51%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
52%
striking defence
51%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
55%
takedown accuracy
30%
69%
takedown defence
100%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Ian Machado Garry
“i'm gonna go with Ian Machado Garry by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“i think Ian Machado Garry wins this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Darian Weeks VALUE
“Darian Weeks will he get two takedowns versus Ian Machado Garry i think he does”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Darian Weeks
“no ingar is fighting darrian weeks here and um if you have watched i went back and watched Darian Weeks's fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“i picked Ian Machado Garry when i broke it down last week”
$1.25
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Darian Weeks VALUE
“i think Darian Weeks gets a late stoppage in this fight around the third round man”
WP
We Want Picks picks Darian Weeks VALUE
“i think marcin taiboro wins this fight”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Weeks5-3
L
Lainesse
Sep '22
L
Garry
Apr '22
L
Barberena
Dec '21