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UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hernandez v Fremd Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Hernandez 7
0 Fremd
HMUSDW pick Hernandez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 15-2 VS 11-6 Fremd
6'0" height 6'4"
186 lb weight 186 lb
75" reach 76"
32 age 32
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 2.5
63% striking accuracy 44%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
46% striking defence 47%
6.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
44% takedown accuracy 25%
65% takedown defence 30%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez “i like Anthony Hernandez to win the fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Anthony Hernandez “Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd”
HB Half The Battle picks Anthony Hernandez “my official pick is hernandez” $1.50
SH Sherdog.com picks Josh Fremd “Josh Fremd uh plus 160 Anthony Hernandez minus 200”
SH Sherdog.com picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “if you fancy shamai of early to win round one it's only minus 150” $1.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “i do like Anthony Hernandez here this guy's a finisher he's dangerous anywhere on the feet on the mat especially and uh i think most importantly he's gonna have the kardi advantage” $1.23
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez “i like Anthony Hernandez to win but it is so stupid razor thin” $1.67
WP We Want Picks picks Josh Fremd “i'll grab Josh Fremd i'll throw a little a couple bucks”
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez “i like anthony to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “i have to go with the known entity in hernandez but this is a pick that i may i may shift on come a little closer to the fight so pay attention to all of our content and let me know in the comments what you think about this fight but right now very slight edge for anthony hernandez”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Anthony Hernandez “i'm gonna side with Anthony Hernandez”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Anthony Hernandez VALUE “my pick is going to be Anthony Hernandez to win the fight” $1.71
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hernandez15-2
L Strickland KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
W Dolidze Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Allen Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R5 Oct '24
W Kopylov Submission · R2 Feb '24
Fremd11-6
L Petroski Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
W Pickett Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Dumas Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Gore Submission · R2 Oct '22