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Chimaev vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
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Dern vs TorresMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Madsen vs PichelMain Card · Lightweight
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Garry vs WeeksPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hernandez vs FremdPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Pennington vs LaddPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Oleinik v Vanderaa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oleinik 60-17-1
VS
12-10 Vanderaa
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
49
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.3
strikes landed / min
5.0
48%
striking accuracy
44%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
44%
striking defence
45%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
46%
takedown accuracy
50%
37%
takedown defence
20%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa
“i like Jared Vanderaa to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa
“i like Jared Vanderaa to win this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Jared Vanderaa
“alexi olynyk by decision”
Kunath picks Jared Vanderaa
“alexi olynyk by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think Jared Vanderaa he might get past 73 because i think he wins”
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think Jared Vanderaa he might get past 73 because i think he wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Aleksei Oleinik
“Aleksei Oleinik vs Jared Vanderaa”
MMA EXPERTS picks Aleksei Oleinik
“Aleksei Oleinik vs Jared Vanderaa”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Aleksei Oleinik VALUE
“i'm personally on the Aleksei Oleinik side i think Aleksei Oleinik takes him down and submits him”
$1.27
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Aleksei Oleinik VALUE
“i'm personally on the Aleksei Oleinik side i think Aleksei Oleinik takes him down and submits him”
$1.27
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i like Jared Vanderaa here i have a one unit moneyline bet on him as well i got it at -115”
$1.87
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i like Jared Vanderaa here i have a one unit moneyline bet on him as well i got it at -115”
$1.87
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think i'm going vandara i think he might actually catch him with an uppercut”
$3.95
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“i think i'm going vandara i think he might actually catch him with an uppercut”
$3.95
WP
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“van tara honestly a very surprisingly easy pick for me the odds here are nuts on some books Jared Vanderaa is an underdog at plus 100 plus 105 if he's not an underdog he's even money here i already have a money line bet on Jared Vanderaa as much as i want Alexander Volkanovskii olenick to win i i just think it's a bad matchup bandera is big he has high volume striking he's got good takedown defense it says 20 on the screen but you can't go by that because okay he was taken down by two nasty grapplers outside of those two fights he has very good takedown defense and Aleksei Oleinik does not have the wrestling not even close to romanov so Jared Vanderaa is an easy pick here for me”
We Want Picks picks Jared Vanderaa VALUE
“van tara honestly a very surprisingly easy pick for me the odds here are nuts on some books Jared Vanderaa is an underdog at plus 100 plus 105 if he's not an underdog he's even money here i already have a money line bet on Jared Vanderaa as much as i want Alexander Volkanovskii olenick to win i i just think it's a bad matchup bandera is big he has high volume striking he's got good takedown defense it says 20 on the screen but you can't go by that because okay he was taken down by two nasty grapplers outside of those two fights he has very good takedown defense and Aleksei Oleinik does not have the wrestling not even close to romanov so Jared Vanderaa is an easy pick here for me”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jared Vanderaa
“gun to my head i'm gonna take Jared Vanderaa don't feel good about it tko or decision for Jared Vanderaa”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jared Vanderaa
“gun to my head i'm gonna take Jared Vanderaa don't feel good about it tko or decision for Jared Vanderaa”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oleinik60-17-1
L
Latifi
Oct '22
W
Vanderaa
Apr '22
L
Spivac
Jun '21
L
Daukaus
Feb '21
L
Lewis
Aug '20
Vanderaa12-10
L
Cortes-Acosta
Oct '22
L
Sherman
Jul '22
L
Oleinik
Apr '22
L
Arlovski
Feb '22
L
Romanov
Oct '21